{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e17d28e7-4080-4609-b8af-aa48a5d94575", "symbol": "LDR", "name": "Lode Resources Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.927, "architecture_energy": 69.748, "architecture_maturity": 75.891, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.85, "rotation_up": 27.51, "upward_expansion": 13.19, "deceleration": 47.17, "rotation_down": 61.01, "downward_expansion": 88.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.081733, 0.086109, 0.100362, 0.116615 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.084, "trend_reference": 0.1417, "distance_from_trend": -0.407198, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.127308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.340181, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.979195, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.533333, "excess_performance": -0.597039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.407198, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204677, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.340181, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.339754, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.519792, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27003, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.533333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.270649, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 463734, "relative_activity": 0.440095, "balance": 0.270649, "dry_up": 0.514959, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129121, "annualized_volatility": 0.501809, "from_high_reference": -0.784615, "from_low_reference": 0.12 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1417, "fair_value_reference": 0.127308, "structural_low": 0.075, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.066244, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.079523, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.434783, "worst_return": -0.222222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.058851, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00036, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.043478, "worst_return": -0.464516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.283445, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.252382, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.565217, "worst_return": -0.483871, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.878814, "energy": 93.138064, "activity_lines": [ 0.087467, 0.095673, 0.11239, 0.130058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.08, "volume": 692245, "typical_volume": 1209817.6, "trend": 0.150733, "fair_value": 0.128276, "relative_strength": -52.277502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.535745, "energy": 87.777215, "activity_lines": [ 0.084, 0.091364, 0.107738, 0.125194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.08, "volume": 527470, "typical_volume": 1097041.65, "trend": 0.146233, "fair_value": 0.127763, "relative_strength": -53.076799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.312399, "energy": 78.678882, "activity_lines": [ 0.0818, 0.088055, 0.103633, 0.12063 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.084, "volume": 463734, "typical_volume": 1053712.4, "trend": 0.1417, "fair_value": 0.127308, "relative_strength": -51.979195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.926876, "energy": 69.747597, "activity_lines": [ 0.081733, 0.086109, 0.100362, 0.116615 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }