{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1949ae2-4119-46b6-9688-69ec3d1381c3", "symbol": "301051", "name": "Shenzhen Xinhao Photoelectricity Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -11.812, "architecture_energy": 28.298, "architecture_maturity": 36.414, "architecture_confidence": 52.95, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.97, "rotation_up": 22.24, "upward_expansion": 22.37, "deceleration": 64.14, "rotation_down": 61.43, "downward_expansion": 40.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.909333, 16.392182, 16.860809, 16.667646 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 17.27, "trend_reference": 16.280571, "distance_from_trend": 0.060774, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.320319, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.002905, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.485011, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.183456, "excess_performance": 0.176056, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060774, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038242, "read": "Rising" 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11.22, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.029954, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.04355, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.127957, "worst_return": -0.118524, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000262, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.134658, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.129482, "worst_return": -0.291583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.026798, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.111304, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116802, "worst_return": -0.301613, "sufficient": false }, { 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32464610.5, "trend": 16.270381, "fair_value": 17.556307, "relative_strength": -17.885144, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.996961, "energy": 26.047638, "activity_lines": [ 18.348667, 18.10948, 17.569319, 17.031643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.01, "volume": 65186582, "typical_volume": 34190176.65, "trend": 16.22, "fair_value": 17.467262, "relative_strength": -19.869617, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.745204, "energy": 6.040181, "activity_lines": [ 16.45, 17.200701, 17.194333, 16.821296 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.74, "volume": 40401643, "typical_volume": 35084984.05, "trend": 16.171571, "fair_value": 17.375864, "relative_strength": -19.829996, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.243755, "energy": 34.851797, "activity_lines": [ 14.650667, 16.330182, 16.805524, 16.59678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.27, "volume": 51716297, "typical_volume": 36445372.3, "trend": 16.280571, "fair_value": 17.320319, "relative_strength": 3.485011, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.811788, "energy": 28.298294, "activity_lines": [ 14.909333, 16.392182, 16.860809, 16.667646 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }