{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e198899d-78e2-4a74-acb3-9164839f816b", "symbol": "2870", "name": "iFreeETF NASDAQ100 Double Inverse(-2x)", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.578, "architecture_energy": 36.11, "architecture_maturity": 97.785, "architecture_confidence": 86.879, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.97, "rotation_up": 27.95, "upward_expansion": 23.57, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 35.36, "downward_expansion": 64.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 7972.466667, 7870.127273, 8021.752381, 8644.626878 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7669.0, "trend_reference": 9407.599154, "distance_from_trend": -0.184808, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18290.997584, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.580723, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.948345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.329943, "excess_performance": -0.539202, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184808, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094548, 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"direction": -49.343849, "energy": 47.673968, "activity_lines": [ 7957.666667, 7797.636364, 8202.390476, 8852.593412 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8194.0, "volume": 218537, "typical_volume": 164472.9, "trend": 9504.192904, "fair_value": 18459.059658, "relative_strength": -34.733271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.222678, "energy": 34.622196, "activity_lines": [ 8063.2, 7885.145455, 8129.438095, 8763.02642 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7669.0, "volume": 95454, "typical_volume": 160494.35, "trend": 9407.599154, "fair_value": 18290.997584, "relative_strength": -38.948345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.577635, "energy": 36.109713, "activity_lines": [ 7972.466667, 7870.127273, 8021.752381, 8644.626878 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }