{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e19b7c19-526e-461d-afb3-c5bb3a18f4f2", "symbol": "JNJ", "name": "Johnson & Johnson", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.131, "architecture_energy": 51.006, "architecture_maturity": 14.401, "architecture_confidence": 80.709, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.67, "rotation_up": 66.63, "upward_expansion": 80.33, "deceleration": 56.71, "rotation_down": 13.02, "downward_expansion": 7.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4467.93138, 4415.393857, 4270.32473, 4233.9687 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4405.0, "trend_reference": 4177.281478, "distance_from_trend": 0.054514, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3230.880055, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.363406, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.802427, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.063404, "excess_performance": 0.118071, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054514, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054772, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.363406, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136233, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.108024, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.14298, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063404, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.016761, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2221, "relative_activity": 0.817536, "balance": 3.016761, "dry_up": 0.489104, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041403, "annualized_volatility": 0.22862, "from_high_reference": -0.067725, "from_low_reference": 0.38952 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4177.281478, "fair_value_reference": 3230.880055, "structural_low": 3788.725993, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -1.5e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020457, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.086091, "worst_return": -0.084146, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.012074, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.006685, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.177269, "worst_return": -0.08094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.036303, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.047067, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.32423, "worst_return": 0.001434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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[ 4467.93138, 4415.393857, 4270.32473, 4233.9687 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }