{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e1ad5b01-ba51-451a-8ce1-5a0ff3045057",
    "symbol": "TREG",
    "name": "VanEck Global Real Estate UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.264,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.535,
    "architecture_energy": 46.299,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.45,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.618,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.7,
        "rotation_up": 58.58,
        "upward_expansion": 77.35,
        "deceleration": 57.45,
        "rotation_down": 15.35,
        "downward_expansion": 6.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        35.117957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 35.805,
    "trend_reference": 34.741093,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030624,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.163434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148943,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.405189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.057452,
    "excess_performance": 0.006216,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030624,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026813,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148943,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013994,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024052,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019403,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057452,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.163254,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16182,
      "relative_activity": 2.704754,
      "balance": 1.163254,
      "dry_up": 2.928562,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031808,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.150137,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047233,
      "from_low_reference": 0.161068
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.741093,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.163434,
      "structural_low": 32.324854,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.004621,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016938,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.061946,
        "worst_return": -0.063977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.000628,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029216,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.080881,
        "worst_return": -0.113484,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.069983,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033593,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.08009,
        "worst_return": -0.083838,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.010463,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 33.608225,
        "fair_value": 30.412668,
        "relative_strength": -2.201133,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 5179.8,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 30.509027,
        "relative_strength": -0.502333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "energy": 22.934182,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 5515.65,
        "trend": 33.78645,
        "fair_value": 30.5604,
        "relative_strength": -2.794462,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 22.773908,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 2406,
        "typical_volume": 5140.5,
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        "fair_value": 30.606745,
        "relative_strength": -2.722681,
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        "energy": 18.888919,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 34.330002,
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        "typical_volume": 4960.6,
        "trend": 33.877355,
        "fair_value": 30.652913,
        "relative_strength": -2.06176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 13.721116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 35.244999,
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        "typical_volume": 4626.85,
        "trend": 33.94636,
        "fair_value": 30.706577,
        "relative_strength": -0.396043,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 27.8137,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 33.990637,
        "fair_value": 30.761769,
        "relative_strength": -1.227809,
        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 34.068825,
        "fair_value": 30.82212,
        "relative_strength": 1.725597,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.791111,
        "energy": 57.374319,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.616305,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.945,
        "volume": 1083,
        "typical_volume": 3866.15,
        "trend": 34.165233,
        "fair_value": 30.882033,
        "relative_strength": -0.187661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.228265,
        "energy": 67.58976,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.498999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.285,
        "volume": 3842,
        "typical_volume": 3460.35,
        "trend": 34.25247,
        "fair_value": 30.935123,
        "relative_strength": -0.274542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.252649,
        "energy": 58.514862,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.517833,
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          34.800698,
          34.630693
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.57,
        "volume": 9849,
        "typical_volume": 3670.6,
        "trend": 34.380223,
        "fair_value": 30.991326,
        "relative_strength": 2.351774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.876445,
        "energy": 72.210861,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.901333,
          35.459905,
          34.982813,
          34.780211
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.970001,
        "volume": 32394,
        "typical_volume": 4774.45,
        "trend": 34.532978,
        "fair_value": 31.052014,
        "relative_strength": 2.159133,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.8039,
        "energy": 74.485233,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.329834,
          35.797715,
          35.201409,
          34.947294
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.0275,
        "volume": 11659,
        "typical_volume": 5273.3,
        "trend": 34.654235,
        "fair_value": 31.107797,
        "relative_strength": -1.593248,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.825729,
        "energy": 52.320496,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.282834,
          35.917297,
          35.322374,
          35.043714
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.805,
        "volume": 16182,
        "typical_volume": 5982.8,
        "trend": 34.741093,
        "fair_value": 31.163434,
        "relative_strength": -2.405189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.535341,
        "energy": 46.299283,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.164667,
          35.968045,
          35.415886,
          35.117957
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}