{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e1b740d4-c4c9-4858-8d2b-972faebebff3",
    "symbol": "INW",
    "name": "GBS Software AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.694,
    "architecture_energy": 59.732,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.769,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.552,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.11,
        "rotation_up": 61.16,
        "upward_expansion": 76.62,
        "deceleration": 63.18,
        "rotation_down": 17.89,
        "downward_expansion": 7.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.209333,
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        3.992571,
        3.901849
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.62,
    "trend_reference": 3.814,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.211327,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.111025,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.485041,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.788085,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.196891,
    "excess_performance": 0.132251,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211327,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041128,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.485041,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248807,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157881,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087871,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196891,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 26.769371,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8716,
      "relative_activity": 4.200887,
      "balance": 26.769371,
      "dry_up": 1.070103,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045621,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.287491,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.561686
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.814,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.111025,
      "structural_low": 3.3,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.016,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003503,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.270677,
        "worst_return": -0.10929,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.036819,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019398,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.496,
        "worst_return": -0.149733,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.231471,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.330645,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "fair_value": 2.950149,
        "relative_strength": 7.238757,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.398352,
        "energy": 20.376517,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.581333,
          3.571636,
          3.636286,
          3.646366
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3.66,
        "volume": 1401,
        "typical_volume": 2049.45,
        "trend": 3.656667,
        "fair_value": 2.960603,
        "relative_strength": 7.001001,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.177669,
        "energy": 16.969353,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.622667,
          3.581091,
          3.637048,
          3.646323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.68,
        "volume": 3680,
        "typical_volume": 2183.25,
        "trend": 3.656667,
        "fair_value": 2.971186,
        "relative_strength": 8.634184,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.004276,
        "energy": 18.707832,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.654667,
          3.598182,
          3.639429,
          3.647828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 3.74,
        "volume": 6725,
        "typical_volume": 2403.95,
        "trend": 3.658667,
        "fair_value": 2.982153,
        "relative_strength": 5.562078,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.316423,
        "energy": 15.345479,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.690667,
          3.626545,
          3.646952,
          3.653204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 3.82,
        "volume": 8144,
        "typical_volume": 2742.05,
        "trend": 3.663333,
        "fair_value": 2.993633,
        "relative_strength": 6.171479,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.22749,
        "energy": 29.361943,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.737333,
          3.669091,
          3.661524,
          3.663613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3.94,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2733.75,
        "trend": 3.671333,
        "fair_value": 3.005761,
        "relative_strength": 10.170957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.653392,
        "energy": 64.956809,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.814667,
          3.729818,
          3.686571,
          3.681462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.96,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2733.65,
        "trend": 3.682,
        "fair_value": 3.018138,
        "relative_strength": 10.581987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.73685,
        "energy": 75.863087,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.878667,
          3.785818,
          3.712095,
          3.700086
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.9,
        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 2389.95,
        "trend": 3.69,
        "fair_value": 3.030131,
        "relative_strength": 6.768453,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.066981,
        "energy": 72.931708,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.902667,
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          3.730381,
          3.714151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.26,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 2188.8,
        "trend": 3.71,
        "fair_value": 3.041635,
        "relative_strength": 17.140523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.937684,
        "energy": 87.786998,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.032,
          3.913455,
          3.781714,
          3.750925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.18,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2056.4,
        "trend": 3.729333,
        "fair_value": 3.053357,
        "relative_strength": 9.437958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.492926,
        "energy": 85.444086,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.1,
          3.977455,
          3.823524,
          3.781247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 1028,
        "typical_volume": 2067.8,
        "trend": 3.739333,
        "fair_value": 3.063924,
        "relative_strength": 7.210185,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.481556,
        "energy": 68.261276,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.084,
          3.999636,
          3.846762,
          3.79871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1838.1,
        "trend": 3.752667,
        "fair_value": 3.074491,
        "relative_strength": 7.704528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.648547,
        "energy": 58.178028,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.064,
          4.015273,
          3.869524,
          3.815527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.04,
        "volume": 101,
        "typical_volume": 1742.85,
        "trend": 3.768667,
        "fair_value": 3.085315,
        "relative_strength": 7.171542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.226757,
        "energy": 44.552883,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.054667,
          4.032,
          3.895524,
          3.834065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.98,
        "volume": 64,
        "typical_volume": 1745.75,
        "trend": 3.780667,
        "fair_value": 3.096119,
        "relative_strength": 3.098134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.393569,
        "energy": 30.133533,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.016,
          4.031273,
          3.91419,
          3.847699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.62,
        "volume": 8716,
        "typical_volume": 2074.8,
        "trend": 3.814,
        "fair_value": 3.111025,
        "relative_strength": 15.788085,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.69352,
        "energy": 59.73208,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.209333,
          4.142545,
          3.992571,
          3.901849
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}