{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e1b757ab-aeaf-424d-8fa8-20a860b238f4",
    "symbol": "1321",
    "name": "East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.026,
    "architecture_energy": 24.39,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.717,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.066,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.52,
        "rotation_up": 19.79,
        "upward_expansion": 55.55,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 41.25,
        "downward_expansion": 23.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        193.701237
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 191.300003,
    "trend_reference": 178.540993,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071463,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 130.439467,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.466581,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 23.687012,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.197121,
    "excess_performance": 0.228951,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071463,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1594,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.466581,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15627,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23687,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196442,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197121,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.501771,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1318970,
      "relative_activity": 0.785721,
      "balance": 1.501771,
      "dry_up": 0.730401,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091253,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.382664,
      "from_high_reference": -0.17222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.885308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 178.540993,
      "fair_value_reference": 130.439467,
      "structural_low": 130.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.128516,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.128574,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.191406,
        "worst_return": 0.065625,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.293309,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.258863,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.430367,
        "worst_return": 0.15625,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.925781,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.869579,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.109375,
        "worst_return": 0.742188,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.346146,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.269029,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.346146,
        "worst_return": 1.346146,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.101591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.068245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 126.918881,
        "relative_strength": 54.210818,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 223.0,
        "volume": 692011,
        "typical_volume": 1546195.65,
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        "fair_value": 127.942278,
        "relative_strength": 50.537712,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 62.309454,
        "activity_lines": [
          223.2,
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          190.467881
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 199.699997,
        "volume": 1738453,
        "typical_volume": 1599817.2,
        "trend": 175.107659,
        "fair_value": 128.814528,
        "relative_strength": 32.344692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.933195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 184.0,
        "volume": 1154993,
        "typical_volume": 1626886.9,
        "trend": 176.644326,
        "fair_value": 129.595126,
        "relative_strength": 23.056186,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.666054,
        "energy": 18.562268,
        "activity_lines": [
          203.853333,
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          204.574796,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 191.300003,
        "volume": 1318970,
        "typical_volume": 1678675.2,
        "trend": 178.540993,
        "fair_value": 130.439467,
        "relative_strength": 23.687012,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.025508,
        "energy": 24.389838,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}