{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1d3176a-32d5-41bd-a801-52e46aa43b27", "symbol": "PREB", "name": "Pre-Built Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.875, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 19.414, "architecture_energy": 19.031, "architecture_maturity": 8.741, "architecture_confidence": 52.515, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.88, "rotation_up": 48.14, "upward_expansion": 38.41, "deceleration": 41.74, "rotation_down": 18.65, "downward_expansion": 12.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.509333, 3.492, 3.47577, 3.492729 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.5, "trend_reference": 3.48587, "distance_from_trend": 0.004054, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.140375, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154666, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.497557, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.106446, "excess_performance": -0.085879, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154666, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072538, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124976, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032519, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.106446, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.613812, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 442700, "relative_activity": 1.715592, "balance": 0.613812, "dry_up": 1.459048, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023297, "annualized_volatility": 0.218512, "from_high_reference": -0.098651, "from_low_reference": 0.119858 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.48587, "fair_value_reference": 4.140375, "structural_low": 3.16328, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.01217, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.013793, "regime_survival": 0.52381, "best_return": 0.054878, "worst_return": -0.128514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013775, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.011136, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.077778, "worst_return": -0.193277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.005203, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.016044, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.071823, "worst_return": -0.236948, "sufficient": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.752673, "energy": 11.231849, "activity_lines": [ 3.448, 3.436, 3.479617, 3.480334 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.5, "volume": 236200, "typical_volume": 253240.0, "trend": 3.464896, "fair_value": 4.20183, "relative_strength": -14.384269, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.381534, "energy": 8.776871, "activity_lines": [ 3.470667, 3.448, 3.475974, 3.482875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.48, "volume": 309700, "typical_volume": 240275.0, "trend": 3.468508, "fair_value": 4.186476, "relative_strength": -15.368849, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.864595, "energy": 12.41842, "activity_lines": [ 3.48, 3.456364, 3.471258, 3.483849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.56, "volume": 506300, "typical_volume": 247740.0, "trend": 3.474155, "fair_value": 4.171097, "relative_strength": -13.287792, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.814928, "energy": 31.551283, "activity_lines": [ 3.510667, 3.477091, 3.47581, 3.489752 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 247300, "typical_volume": 245030.0, "trend": 3.479697, "fair_value": 4.155601, "relative_strength": -13.408482, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.496301, "energy": 20.463893, "activity_lines": [ 3.510667, 3.485091, 3.475283, 3.491419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.5, "volume": 442700, "typical_volume": 258045.0, "trend": 3.48587, "fair_value": 4.140375, "relative_strength": -12.497557, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.414292, "energy": 19.030829, "activity_lines": [ 3.509333, 3.492, 3.47577, 3.492729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }