{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1d8ae5c-7c11-4b06-9aa4-9160833c9f64", "symbol": "COMPDM", "name": "Compodium International AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.082, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.454, "architecture_energy": 20.388, "architecture_maturity": 82.486, "architecture_confidence": 76.733, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.36, "rotation_up": 29.22, "upward_expansion": 60.97, "deceleration": 85.36, "rotation_down": 30.1, "downward_expansion": 22.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.62, 5.72, 5.628238, 5.337785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.1, "trend_reference": 4.862, "distance_from_trend": 0.048951, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.259231, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185203, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.161526, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.473988, "excess_performance": 0.412494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048951, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10819, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185203, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007203, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081615, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020354, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.473988, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.219185, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39708, "relative_activity": 1.48307, "balance": 1.219185, "dry_up": 1.130585, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082202, "annualized_volatility": 0.479061, "from_high_reference": -0.203125, "from_low_reference": 0.634615 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.862, "fair_value_reference": 6.259231, "structural_low": 3.36, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.033333, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.02198, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.102804, "worst_return": -0.080189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.244104, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.321728, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.244104, "worst_return": -0.244104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.050708, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.101548, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.050708, "worst_return": -0.050708, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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31806.2, "trend": 4.648, "fair_value": 6.306538, "relative_strength": 9.360747, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.401713, "energy": 53.073498, "activity_lines": [ 5.85, 5.821818, 5.534095, 5.162796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.95, "volume": 19204, "typical_volume": 26833.45, "trend": 4.729, "fair_value": 6.292115, "relative_strength": 9.154455, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.11817, "energy": 51.957123, "activity_lines": [ 5.883333, 5.854545, 5.604286, 5.246796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.85, "volume": 15060, "typical_volume": 26524.7, "trend": 4.810667, "fair_value": 6.277308, "relative_strength": 6.484883, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.774475, "energy": 44.977475, "activity_lines": [ 5.88, 5.86, 5.656429, 5.319118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.1, "volume": 39708, "typical_volume": 26774.2, "trend": 4.862, "fair_value": 6.259231, "relative_strength": -8.161526, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.453631, "energy": 20.387829, "activity_lines": [ 5.62, 5.72, 5.628238, 5.337785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }