{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1e175bf-56a2-4b53-80a1-7adc71d08c9f", "symbol": "FARX", "name": "FRONTIER ASSET ABSOLUTE RETURN ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.65, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.81, "architecture_energy": 66.368, "architecture_maturity": 5.903, "architecture_confidence": 70.094, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.89, "rotation_up": 72.25, "upward_expansion": 88.62, "deceleration": 43.91, "rotation_down": 12.14, "downward_expansion": 12.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.165947, 29.025194, 28.977746, 28.846574 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.2985, "trend_reference": 28.617689, "distance_from_trend": 0.02379, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.374947, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110846, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.271119, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.046496, "excess_performance": -0.079129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02379, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027209, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.110846, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013577, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052711, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029849, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046496, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.499704, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1991, "relative_activity": 0.218096, "balance": 2.499704, "dry_up": 0.269142, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010424, "annualized_volatility": 0.043671, "from_high_reference": -0.007192, "from_low_reference": 0.17781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.617689, "fair_value_reference": 26.374947, "structural_low": 27.874022, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.058962, "energy": 20.526381, "activity_lines": [ 28.855826, 28.871423, 28.857039, 28.705822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.221, "volume": 1809, "typical_volume": 9400.75, "trend": 28.480938, "fair_value": 26.307586, "relative_strength": -1.267571, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.529328, "energy": 41.456354, "activity_lines": [ 28.988592, 28.924589, 28.902144, 28.757945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.1098, "volume": 2920, "typical_volume": 9295.1, "trend": 28.553602, "fair_value": 26.340553, "relative_strength": -2.654007, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.666904, "energy": 49.341209, "activity_lines": [ 29.062573, 28.95717, 28.932692, 28.798516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.2985, "volume": 1991, "typical_volume": 9129.0, "trend": 28.617689, "fair_value": 26.374947, "relative_strength": -5.271119, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.809771, "energy": 66.367615, "activity_lines": [ 29.165947, 29.025194, 28.977746, 28.846574 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }