{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1e6fcaf-63ed-42ee-be5e-bd3a1b5857bf", "symbol": "JAIPURKURT", "name": "Nandani Creation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.424, "architecture_energy": 45.215, "architecture_maturity": 49.344, "architecture_confidence": 88.79, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.8, "rotation_up": 18.8, "upward_expansion": 6.76, "deceleration": 47.12, "rotation_down": 56.36, "downward_expansion": 80.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.31, 27.626, 28.775095, 29.545419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.58, "trend_reference": 31.227333, "distance_from_trend": -0.116799, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.158654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.402496, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.341768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.277254, "excess_performance": -0.233545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116799, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040212, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.402496, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153418, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078909, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.277254, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.133853, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 418381, "relative_activity": 4.367206, "balance": 2.133853, "dry_up": 1.669061, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079796, "annualized_volatility": 0.403828, "from_high_reference": -0.355607, "from_low_reference": 0.130328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.227333, "fair_value_reference": 46.158654, "structural_low": 24.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.03512, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.617647, "median_excess_return": -0.042547, "regime_survival": 0.911765, "best_return": 0.311637, "worst_return": -0.238169, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.059497, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.107602, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.746395, "worst_return": -0.215293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.034296, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.06839, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.718698, "worst_return": -0.347531, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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57.414563, "activity_lines": [ 28.035333, 28.577637, 29.464, 30.430194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.01, "volume": 134930, "typical_volume": 109686.25, "trend": 31.695667, "fair_value": 46.963141, "relative_strength": -15.730297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.692109, "energy": 58.529365, "activity_lines": [ 27.672667, 28.180364, 29.20681, 30.123548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.67, "volume": 76216, "typical_volume": 93115.95, "trend": 31.515333, "fair_value": 46.56391, "relative_strength": -18.165857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.107887, "energy": 57.00608, "activity_lines": [ 27.3, 27.780909, 28.940476, 29.799312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.58, "volume": 418381, "typical_volume": 95800.6, "trend": 31.227333, "fair_value": 46.158654, "relative_strength": -15.341768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.423537, "energy": 45.215426, "activity_lines": [ 27.31, 27.626, 28.775095, 29.545419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }