{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1ef9371-0c23-4a7b-b618-c37a99535c5e", "symbol": "003022", "name": "Levima Advanced Materials Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.642, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.454, "architecture_energy": 60.91, "architecture_maturity": 12.714, "architecture_confidence": 75.666, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.19, "rotation_up": 14.16, "upward_expansion": 27.98, "deceleration": 49.35, "rotation_down": 72.98, "downward_expansion": 57.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.244, 20.948727, 22.475834, 22.376437 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.219999, "trend_reference": 22.072513, "distance_from_trend": -0.083929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.745714, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.998224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.050325, "excess_performance": -0.057724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.083929, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04392, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.13943, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213362, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069982, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100477, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050325, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.398858, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56828274, "relative_activity": 0.601086, "balance": 1.398858, "dry_up": 0.667348, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129803, "annualized_volatility": 0.469599, "from_high_reference": -0.294241, "from_low_reference": 0.272792 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.072513, "fair_value_reference": 17.745714, "structural_low": 17.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.032401, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02548, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.231447, "worst_return": -0.032459, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.076571, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.068107, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.122951, "worst_return": 0.030191, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.029443, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004523, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180942, "worst_return": -0.122057, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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18.35, "volume": 73476815, "typical_volume": 97666705.6, "trend": 22.094535, "fair_value": 17.834813, "relative_strength": -12.179708, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.174825, "energy": 34.133748, "activity_lines": [ 21.699333, 23.358182, 23.544254, 22.95208 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.33, "volume": 66261848, "typical_volume": 97686385.55, "trend": 22.09089, "fair_value": 17.79929, "relative_strength": -12.565401, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.608728, "energy": 45.559793, "activity_lines": [ 20.012, 22.291091, 23.103987, 22.709206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.77, "volume": 55804453, "typical_volume": 95358485.7, "trend": 22.057036, "fair_value": 17.765131, "relative_strength": -9.069202, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.315785, "energy": 63.202334, "activity_lines": [ 19.128667, 21.427636, 22.715168, 22.494955 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.219999, "volume": 56828274, "typical_volume": 94542651.0, "trend": 22.072513, "fair_value": 17.745714, "relative_strength": -6.998224, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.453583, "energy": 60.910474, "activity_lines": [ 19.244, 20.948727, 22.475834, 22.376437 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }