{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e1f6c02d-95d3-468d-85a3-a8ef4bb02a29", "symbol": "3211", "name": "Dynapack International Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.606, "architecture_energy": 18.414, "architecture_maturity": 42.138, "architecture_confidence": 73.581, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.97, "rotation_up": 24.18, "upward_expansion": 45.2, "deceleration": 77.42, "rotation_down": 37.95, "downward_expansion": 32.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 355.633333, 373.533992, 381.048387, 371.170821 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 391.0, "trend_reference": 353.202369, "distance_from_trend": 0.107014, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 190.285659, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.054805, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.187152, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.384873, "excess_performance": -0.056499, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107014, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106623, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.054805, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08295, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.161872, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01308, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.384873, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.410832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62954044, "relative_activity": 1.44494, "balance": 1.410832, "dry_up": 0.878817, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.173978, "annualized_volatility": 0.723602, "from_high_reference": -0.210101, "from_low_reference": 0.599624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 353.202369, "fair_value_reference": 190.285659, "structural_low": 266.300111, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.026385, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.003859, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.238562, "worst_return": -0.209302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.105849, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.011496, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.48363, "worst_return": -0.096672, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.209192, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.082281, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.733015, "worst_return": 0.045632, "sufficient": true }, 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"fair_value": 185.057473, "relative_strength": -15.093808, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.87656, "energy": 22.886425, "activity_lines": [ 399.669352, 403.716803, 390.809919, 372.952288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 292.0, "volume": 27307393, "typical_volume": 44244375.6, "trend": 349.24697, "fair_value": 186.488939, "relative_strength": -33.986562, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.31501, "energy": 8.223594, "activity_lines": [ 363.566667, 383.289559, 382.951179, 369.210743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 338.5, "volume": 41754482, "typical_volume": 44673299.75, "trend": 349.871819, "fair_value": 188.220125, "relative_strength": -25.126517, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.523822, "energy": 21.348741, "activity_lines": [ 348.766667, 372.86407, 379.553671, 368.51739 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 391.0, "volume": 62954044, "typical_volume": 43568621.9, "trend": 353.202369, "fair_value": 190.285659, "relative_strength": -16.187152, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.606472, "energy": 18.414483, "activity_lines": [ 355.633333, 373.533992, 381.048387, 371.170821 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }