{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e20e24c3-6764-4d72-bba2-e9019e7b08d7",
    "symbol": "00690",
    "name": "Mega Taiwan Blue Chip 30 ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.501,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.129,
    "architecture_energy": 25.709,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.287,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.974,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.31,
        "rotation_up": 22.94,
        "upward_expansion": 57.08,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 31.27,
        "downward_expansion": 20.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        74.156668,
        76.020001,
        74.763714,
        70.168147
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 75.0,
    "trend_reference": 63.635186,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.178593,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.276691,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.067443,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.116164,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.549757,
    "excess_performance": 0.170446,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178593,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230564,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.067443,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.202765,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081162,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079228,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.549757,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.591445,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1683898,
      "relative_activity": 0.695231,
      "balance": 0.591445,
      "dry_up": 1.208777,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074079,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.360435,
      "from_high_reference": -0.105546,
      "from_low_reference": 1.227379
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.635186,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.276691,
      "structural_low": 47.047702,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.011132,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012333,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.085325,
        "worst_return": -0.012639,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.062495,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000114,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.102356,
        "worst_return": -0.072224,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.130557,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014728,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.197214,
        "worst_return": -0.163407,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.14528,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023824,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.288871,
        "worst_return": -0.100795,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-05-26",
        "end": "2023-07-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.017018,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-04",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.182856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.072869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054867,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.033038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010101,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3789184,
        "typical_volume": 2411292.55,
        "trend": 60.473906,
        "fair_value": 35.266404,
        "relative_strength": 9.381962,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 51.092252,
        "energy": 50.133245,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.25,
        "volume": 2206841,
        "typical_volume": 2338353.35,
        "trend": 61.572111,
        "fair_value": 35.603745,
        "relative_strength": 9.081471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.223407,
        "energy": 40.165748,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.930001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 72.800003,
        "volume": 4031041,
        "typical_volume": 2415467.65,
        "trend": 62.586385,
        "fair_value": 35.933492,
        "relative_strength": 7.957275,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.382409,
        "energy": 25.70574,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.513335,
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          69.367268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.0,
        "volume": 1683898,
        "typical_volume": 2422068.5,
        "trend": 63.635186,
        "fair_value": 36.276691,
        "relative_strength": 8.116164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.129225,
        "energy": 25.708727,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}