{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e20ec74a-3c4f-4ab1-8c44-a36c2895a7a0",
    "symbol": "300825",
    "name": "IAT Automobile Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -15.34,
    "architecture_energy": 27.815,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.89,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.447,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.75,
        "rotation_up": 14.2,
        "upward_expansion": 15.38,
        "deceleration": 72.41,
        "rotation_down": 58.27,
        "downward_expansion": 38.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.59,
        11.732182,
        12.00081,
        11.487591
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.43,
    "trend_reference": 10.975667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.041395,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.722564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024957,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.151158,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.177137,
    "excess_performance": 0.169737,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041395,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083161,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024957,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110289,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011512,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216718,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177137,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.383498,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 154100419,
      "relative_activity": 1.388075,
      "balance": 4.383498,
      "dry_up": 1.519988,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.199273,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.638462,
      "from_high_reference": -0.371978,
      "from_low_reference": 0.446835
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.975667,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.722564,
      "structural_low": 7.9,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.02567,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004896,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.120844,
        "worst_return": -0.080037,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.044634,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.123402,
        "worst_return": -0.153846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.229001,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.142141,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.00095,
        "worst_return": -0.303069,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.247522,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.309284,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.080722,
        "worst_return": -0.414322,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051724,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048593,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.130792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.150997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.255943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.174699,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000854,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.192835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.103312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.392131,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.189386,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 88990673.85,
        "trend": 10.879,
        "fair_value": 11.859808,
        "relative_strength": -16.172328,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 9.055642,
        "energy": 19.853378,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 95299285.1,
        "trend": 10.883,
        "fair_value": 11.803462,
        "relative_strength": -12.777603,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.528395,
        "energy": 30.743938,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.83,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.6,
        "volume": 225802799,
        "typical_volume": 104677048.6,
        "trend": 10.917333,
        "fair_value": 11.759103,
        "relative_strength": -1.774696,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.690721,
        "energy": 27.598275,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.43,
        "volume": 154100419,
        "typical_volume": 111017339.3,
        "trend": 10.975667,
        "fair_value": 11.722564,
        "relative_strength": 1.151158,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.33963,
        "energy": 27.815378,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}