{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2136016-ed50-43ed-8a06-1408930b4e55", "symbol": "2732", "name": "La Kaffa International Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.138, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.837, "architecture_energy": 50.215, "architecture_maturity": 36.667, "architecture_confidence": 91.114, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.88, "rotation_up": 13.65, "upward_expansion": 9.59, "deceleration": 39.47, "rotation_down": 62.72, "downward_expansion": 85.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.873333, 64.372727, 64.807129, 64.998154 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 63.0, "trend_reference": 65.173066, "distance_from_trend": -0.033343, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 87.220437, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.277692, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.44059, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.02366, "excess_performance": -0.465032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033343, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024134, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.277692, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019875, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.344406, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042703, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02366, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.95112, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 144404, "relative_activity": 0.702703, "balance": 0.95112, "dry_up": 0.666157, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035775, "annualized_volatility": 0.145876, "from_high_reference": -0.192455, "from_low_reference": 0.045517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.173066, "fair_value_reference": 87.220437, "structural_low": 60.25727, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.012968, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.051541, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.39607, "worst_return": -0.137339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.053291, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.068182, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.187259, "worst_return": -0.272559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.103744, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.216214, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.521993, "worst_return": -0.244635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.119658, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007634, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019231, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.047467, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008928, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008969, "active": 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64.713333, 64.863636, 65.186856, 65.236132 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.0, "volume": 77087, "typical_volume": 209380.1, "trend": 65.285411, "fair_value": 87.592322, "relative_strength": -32.074813, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.342627, "energy": 34.734062, "activity_lines": [ 64.406666, 64.707272, 65.038274, 65.1456 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 63.0, "volume": 144404, "typical_volume": 205497.8, "trend": 65.173066, "fair_value": 87.220437, "relative_strength": -34.44059, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.837087, "energy": 50.21538, "activity_lines": [ 63.873333, 64.372727, 64.807129, 64.998154 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }