{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2192768-9d96-42d5-88db-d35fd6de3069",
    "symbol": "DHL",
    "name": "Deutsche Post AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.768,
    "architecture_energy": 82.212,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.879,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.276,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 66.81,
        "upward_expansion": 95.25,
        "deceleration": 43.57,
        "rotation_down": 21.45,
        "downward_expansion": 19.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.447999,
        55.636,
        53.202794,
        51.242205
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.119999,
    "trend_reference": 49.091224,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.122808,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.701517,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.424234,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.014041,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.15755,
    "excess_performance": -0.016696,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122808,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080103,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.424234,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175531,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00014,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043507,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15755,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.486364,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 220,
      "relative_activity": 1.309134,
      "balance": 7.486364,
      "dry_up": 1.094912,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032391,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.25704,
      "from_high_reference": -0.053896,
      "from_low_reference": 0.548703
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.091224,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.701517,
      "structural_low": 41.076944,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.025538,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007774,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.115722,
        "worst_return": -0.119067,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.025363,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036237,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.179037,
        "worst_return": -0.144554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.082158,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098865,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.165294,
        "worst_return": -0.04412,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.084605,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074623,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.375724,
        "worst_return": -0.347643,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "return": -0.028767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "direction": 65.183533,
        "energy": 47.659728,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.139539,
          45.829043,
          45.732538,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 46.75,
        "volume": 326,
        "typical_volume": 410.3,
        "trend": 44.293825,
        "fair_value": 37.438855,
        "relative_strength": -4.36471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.72372,
        "energy": 53.100577,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 46.77,
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        "typical_volume": 410.55,
        "trend": 44.594846,
        "fair_value": 37.503021,
        "relative_strength": -3.844465,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.734488,
        "energy": 39.403772,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.022584,
          46.369727,
          45.942888,
          45.586239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 50.0,
        "volume": 358,
        "typical_volume": 428.2,
        "trend": 45.008968,
        "fair_value": 37.588449,
        "relative_strength": 0.676423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.07493,
        "energy": 55.719382,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 51.34,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 417.5,
        "trend": 45.450493,
        "fair_value": 37.678061,
        "relative_strength": 0.609574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.262096,
        "energy": 63.948451,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 52.16,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 395.2,
        "trend": 45.815453,
        "fair_value": 37.778786,
        "relative_strength": 3.355683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.145548,
        "energy": 80.178851,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.43,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 51.880001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 384.5,
        "trend": 46.142307,
        "fair_value": 37.863744,
        "relative_strength": 0.093907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.637445,
        "energy": 82.948009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 51.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 379.5,
        "trend": 46.478628,
        "fair_value": 37.95161,
        "relative_strength": -4.817243,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.086939,
        "energy": 80.539155,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.552,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 52.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 267.75,
        "trend": 46.784343,
        "fair_value": 38.037184,
        "relative_strength": -1.040824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.865784,
        "energy": 80.523498,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.878667,
          50.782745,
          48.791399,
          47.878452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.060001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 267.75,
        "trend": 47.194905,
        "fair_value": 38.151558,
        "relative_strength": 3.448483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.147545,
        "energy": 88.805557,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.297334,
          51.945235,
          49.602226,
          48.476882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.34,
        "volume": 768,
        "typical_volume": 305.5,
        "trend": 47.571002,
        "fair_value": 38.25685,
        "relative_strength": 5.19336,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.518661,
        "energy": 91.350523,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.494667,
          52.972182,
          50.397464,
          49.066888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.639999,
        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 294.95,
        "trend": 47.962214,
        "fair_value": 38.361331,
        "relative_strength": 7.615236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.175722,
        "energy": 91.181269,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.513333,
          53.907818,
          51.180606,
          49.651985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.139999,
        "volume": 105,
        "typical_volume": 150.9,
        "trend": 48.376487,
        "fair_value": 38.46991,
        "relative_strength": 6.967907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.253001,
        "energy": 91.181115,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.381333,
          54.754545,
          51.970643,
          50.2441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.52,
        "volume": 392,
        "typical_volume": 159.8,
        "trend": 48.792877,
        "fair_value": 38.592054,
        "relative_strength": 7.479541,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.737773,
        "energy": 91.072653,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.988,
          55.481818,
          52.734948,
          50.834004
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.119999,
        "volume": 220,
        "typical_volume": 168.05,
        "trend": 49.091224,
        "fair_value": 38.701517,
        "relative_strength": -0.014041,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.767962,
        "energy": 82.211795,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.447999,
          55.636,
          53.202794,
          51.242205
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}