{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e21c702d-cb95-4140-bd27-2d82c8ed0e94",
    "symbol": "PSCF",
    "name": "INVESCO S&P SMALLCAP FINANCIALS ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.353,
    "architecture_energy": 63.072,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.287,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.261,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.41,
        "rotation_up": 68.06,
        "upward_expansion": 86.84,
        "deceleration": 57.3,
        "rotation_down": 18.19,
        "downward_expansion": 11.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        62.925887
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 66.508,
    "trend_reference": 61.408791,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083037,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 52.060067,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277524,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.911806,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08364,
    "excess_performance": -0.103814,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083037,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04767,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.277524,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037515,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019118,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067997,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08364,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.425478,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6634,
      "relative_activity": 0.515408,
      "balance": 1.425478,
      "dry_up": 2.179064,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028257,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.161595,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030425,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24358
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.408791,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.060067,
      "structural_low": 55.127768,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.005104,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.565217,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001426,
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        "best_return": 0.106187,
        "worst_return": -0.158187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.125439,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.209664,
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        "trend": 57.596632,
        "fair_value": 49.723794,
        "relative_strength": -3.819661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 21049.3,
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        "relative_strength": -10.142463,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 20600.85,
        "trend": 58.614612,
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        "relative_strength": -12.850445,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 20330.25,
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        "fair_value": 50.628246,
        "relative_strength": -7.994852,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 30.825066,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 20032.85,
        "trend": 59.097288,
        "fair_value": 50.780692,
        "relative_strength": -6.516135,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.399552,
        "energy": 50.843868,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 50.945394,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 65.5003,
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        "trend": 59.670662,
        "fair_value": 51.11533,
        "relative_strength": -1.435593,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.091641,
        "energy": 82.942247,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 65.8512,
        "volume": 9002,
        "typical_volume": 14448.75,
        "trend": 59.981078,
        "fair_value": 51.286949,
        "relative_strength": -1.610803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 65.709,
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        "typical_volume": 10950.15,
        "trend": 60.233947,
        "fair_value": 51.447411,
        "relative_strength": -3.406201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 88.31296,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 67.4481,
        "volume": 40248,
        "typical_volume": 11279.5,
        "trend": 60.543636,
        "fair_value": 51.607284,
        "relative_strength": 3.465075,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.610269,
        "energy": 93.440088,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.117535,
          64.693551,
          62.907555,
          61.777662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.8165,
        "volume": 41231,
        "typical_volume": 12621.1,
        "trend": 60.831272,
        "fair_value": 51.755964,
        "relative_strength": 4.139662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.383078,
        "energy": 87.154111,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.546973,
          65.305001,
          63.443208,
          62.182363
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.0038,
        "volume": 24077,
        "typical_volume": 12684.15,
        "trend": 61.155897,
        "fair_value": 51.908136,
        "relative_strength": 3.819204,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.31713,
        "energy": 81.532617,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.793233,
          65.82393,
          63.95319,
          62.58059
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.508,
        "volume": 6634,
        "typical_volume": 12871.35,
        "trend": 61.408791,
        "fair_value": 52.060067,
        "relative_strength": -1.911806,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.353211,
        "energy": 63.071583,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.773993,
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          64.363472,
          62.925887
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}