{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e21df7bf-f588-4195-8c90-dc96c23e87df", "symbol": "FSY", "name": "Forsys Metals Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 78.01, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.856, "architecture_energy": 48.784, "architecture_maturity": 36.475, "architecture_confidence": 82.215, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.66, "rotation_up": 62.59, "upward_expansion": 79.1, "deceleration": 60.87, "rotation_down": 16.38, "downward_expansion": 5.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.487333, 0.470545, 0.431095, 0.416581 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.54, "trend_reference": 0.409, "distance_from_trend": 0.320293, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.595321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092926, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.245997, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.384615, "excess_performance": 0.264194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.320293, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117486, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092926, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.267523, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.15246, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.41185, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.384615, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.08928, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1385600, "relative_activity": 1.539111, "balance": 1.08928, "dry_up": 1.077828, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123932, "annualized_volatility": 0.844865, "from_high_reference": -0.228571, "from_low_reference": 1.076923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.409, "fair_value_reference": 0.595321, "structural_low": 0.31, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.039639, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.05792, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.426667, "worst_return": -0.145833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.117647, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.045129, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.157895, "worst_return": -0.270833, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.118566, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.154263, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.294118, "worst_return": -0.53125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.386667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06383, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.404255, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.33871, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.205128, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.972336, "energy": 72.595111, "activity_lines": [ 0.466667, 0.424364, 0.399, 0.396473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.44, "volume": 821500, "typical_volume": 1014910.0, "trend": 0.394667, "fair_value": 0.592628, "relative_strength": -5.630449, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.52912, "energy": 67.764616, "activity_lines": [ 0.464, 0.431818, 0.404, 0.399656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.43, "volume": 322500, "typical_volume": 909010.0, "trend": 0.398333, "fair_value": 0.593269, "relative_strength": -6.83846, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.873957, "energy": 52.630908, "activity_lines": [ 0.450667, 0.436364, 0.408, 0.401935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.49, "volume": 1351700, "typical_volume": 899020.0, "trend": 0.404667, "fair_value": 0.594103, "relative_strength": 7.495453, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.849063, "energy": 43.49488, "activity_lines": [ 0.462, 0.450364, 0.417429, 0.407849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.54, "volume": 1385600, "typical_volume": 900260.0, "trend": 0.409, "fair_value": 0.595321, "relative_strength": 15.245997, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.855617, "energy": 48.784092, "activity_lines": [ 0.487333, 0.470545, 0.431095, 0.416581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }