{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e21f3ad2-fcc6-4a0c-aa7d-2a888fb34daa", "symbol": "ALBLU", "name": "Bluelinea Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -90.375, "architecture_energy": 96.563, "architecture_maturity": 52.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.439, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 8.04, "upward_expansion": 21.99, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 89.61, "downward_expansion": 99.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.221533, 0.270867, 0.335796, 0.37401 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.189, "trend_reference": 0.418218, "distance_from_trend": -0.548083, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.806131, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.765547, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.063881, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.60625, "excess_performance": -0.659561, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.548083, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122988, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.765547, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.26742, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.610639, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.46934, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.60625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.193909, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60306, "relative_activity": 4.438965, "balance": 0.193909, "dry_up": 2.426466, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172927, "annualized_volatility": 0.473057, "from_high_reference": -0.726087, "from_low_reference": 0.05 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.418218, "fair_value_reference": 0.806131, "structural_low": 0.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": -0.019851, "positive_rate": 0.354167, "directional_follow_through": 0.604167, "median_excess_return": -0.025194, "regime_survival": 0.9375, "best_return": 0.303965, "worst_return": -0.380952, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.064099, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": -0.072745, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.328947, "worst_return": -0.510638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.122571, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.130995, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.315789, "worst_return": -0.310877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2023-07-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013889, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-07-21", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.335714, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.071823, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097087, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.231329, "energy": 97.767737, "activity_lines": [ 0.307641, 0.349242, 0.392589, 0.417576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.23, "volume": 15688, "typical_volume": 9472.05, "trend": 0.437718, "fair_value": 0.820605, "relative_strength": -52.478578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.351083, "energy": 97.62406, "activity_lines": [ 0.272605, 0.322632, 0.374105, 0.403638 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.218, "volume": 25202, "typical_volume": 10570.55, "trend": 0.428518, "fair_value": 0.813445, "relative_strength": -54.855762, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.056124, "energy": 96.11675, "activity_lines": [ 0.246236, 0.297659, 0.355679, 0.389462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.189, "volume": 60306, "typical_volume": 13585.6, "trend": 0.418218, "fair_value": 0.806131, "relative_strength": -61.063881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.374765, "energy": 96.562546, "activity_lines": [ 0.221533, 0.270867, 0.335796, 0.37401 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }