{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e23312bc-7a57-48b0-9213-83c298d4c32e", "symbol": "PBI-B", "name": "Purpose Best Ideas Fund Series ETF Non-Currency Hedged", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.762, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.129, "architecture_energy": 64.917, "architecture_maturity": 79.445, "architecture_confidence": 54.156, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.67, "rotation_up": 51.21, "upward_expansion": 78.5, "deceleration": 71.45, "rotation_down": 29.68, "downward_expansion": 16.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.240002, 73.090546, 71.238858, 69.153183 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 74.160004, "trend_reference": 67.078667, "distance_from_trend": 0.105568, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.693155, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308095, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.683888, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.192091, "excess_performance": 0.07167, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.105568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026541, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.308095, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054719, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.016839, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052683, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.192091, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.615385, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100, "relative_activity": 0.121951, "balance": 0.615385, "dry_up": 1.768293, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021253, "annualized_volatility": 0.151318, "from_high_reference": -0.014878, "from_low_reference": 0.275322 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.078667, "fair_value_reference": 56.693155, "structural_low": 58.150002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.017427, "positive_rate": 0.72973, "directional_follow_through": 0.72973, "median_excess_return": 0.002481, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.070426, "worst_return": -0.058504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.059432, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.022231, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.146766, "worst_return": -0.056955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.133846, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.015482, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.183474, "worst_return": -0.043998, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 56.042679, "relative_strength": -0.112183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.069828, "energy": 87.679373, "activity_lines": [ 73.724665, 72.557091, 69.728524, 67.960151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.779999, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 795.0, "trend": 66.690333, "fair_value": 56.251369, "relative_strength": -2.592068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.553611, "energy": 73.314548, "activity_lines": [ 73.187332, 72.612, 70.176048, 68.298129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.660004, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 835.0, "trend": 66.876334, "fair_value": 56.467424, "relative_strength": -0.733927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.95023, "energy": 63.393499, "activity_lines": [ 72.978, 72.754546, 70.665857, 68.683269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.160004, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 820.0, "trend": 67.078667, "fair_value": 56.693155, "relative_strength": -1.683888, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.128619, "energy": 64.917124, "activity_lines": [ 73.240002, 73.090546, 71.238858, 69.153183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }