{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2337871-38ab-4a4f-97e3-01be6848be34", "symbol": "605305", "name": "3S Industry Group Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.894, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.019, "architecture_energy": 43.008, "architecture_maturity": 5.219, "architecture_confidence": 86.491, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.42, "rotation_up": 18.06, "upward_expansion": 12.2, "deceleration": 36.17, "rotation_down": 56.37, "downward_expansion": 78.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.038667, 39.714182, 40.569259, 40.946426 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.950001, "trend_reference": 41.624857, "distance_from_trend": -0.040237, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.492473, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.310159, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.275954, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.062003, "excess_performance": -0.0188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040237, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023156, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.310159, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254955, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118547, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.062003, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.473768, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18953879, "relative_activity": 0.742084, "balance": 0.473768, "dry_up": 0.91009, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099038, "annualized_volatility": 0.508251, "from_high_reference": -0.189784, "from_low_reference": 0.136562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.624857, "fair_value_reference": 30.492473, "structural_low": 36.111513, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.020201, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": 0.054588, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.233864, "worst_return": -0.126544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.322811, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.185308, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.665163, "worst_return": -0.064141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.154231, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.092079, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.596266, "worst_return": -0.032148, "sufficient": false }, { 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27298007, "typical_volume": 28688301.05, "trend": 41.768833, "fair_value": 30.272346, "relative_strength": -5.203936, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.60013, "energy": 19.916797, "activity_lines": [ 39.830001, 39.820722, 40.938052, 41.234671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.02, "volume": 19872790, "typical_volume": 26988133.7, "trend": 41.668961, "fair_value": 30.373969, "relative_strength": -1.928002, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.983793, "energy": 39.696178, "activity_lines": [ 39.216667, 39.664315, 40.698179, 41.057327 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.950001, "volume": 18953879, "typical_volume": 25541436.25, "trend": 41.624857, "fair_value": 30.492473, "relative_strength": -2.275954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.019177, "energy": 43.007512, "activity_lines": [ 39.038667, 39.714182, 40.569259, 40.946426 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }