{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2504958-c1e7-4f45-89ef-c93c7b52f826", "symbol": "000504", "name": "Landfar Bio-medicine Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.272, "architecture_energy": 30.475, "architecture_maturity": 48.248, "architecture_confidence": 60.702, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.68, "rotation_up": 23.67, "upward_expansion": 15.31, "deceleration": 66.47, "rotation_down": 37.89, "downward_expansion": 62.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.007333, 7.969455, 8.395524, 8.678731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.5, "trend_reference": 8.894, "distance_from_trend": -0.0443, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.113526, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.06732, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.952975, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.019608, "excess_performance": -0.027008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045981, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.06732, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074383, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10953, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061257, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019608, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.296932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34065905, "relative_activity": 1.456426, "balance": 1.296932, "dry_up": 2.182878, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09457, "annualized_volatility": 0.465502, "from_high_reference": -0.322169, "from_low_reference": 0.174033 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.894, "fair_value_reference": 9.113526, "structural_low": 7.24, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.044733, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.048889, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 0.314788, "worst_return": -0.223565, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.011238, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009591, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.840604, "worst_return": -0.205438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.085757, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.046747, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.58557, "worst_return": -0.21444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.05561, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.13403, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015453, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.010056, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.064985, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.026812, "active": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.452355, "energy": 76.994939, "activity_lines": [ 7.873333, 8.236182, 8.787143, 8.928925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.55, "volume": 80377735, "typical_volume": 20624136.2, "trend": 8.999333, "fair_value": 9.185064, "relative_strength": -9.487247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.74022, "energy": 45.487493, "activity_lines": [ 8.083333, 8.230909, 8.732048, 8.898839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.39, "volume": 58174088, "typical_volume": 22908635.55, "trend": 8.963333, "fair_value": 9.157821, "relative_strength": -21.444436, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.3993, "energy": 46.206971, "activity_lines": [ 7.902, 8.031273, 8.569333, 8.795011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.57, "volume": 31613005, "typical_volume": 22691448.5, "trend": 8.909, "fair_value": 9.134295, "relative_strength": -17.382828, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.116151, "energy": 45.084059, "activity_lines": [ 7.810667, 7.898364, 8.431619, 8.705118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.5, "volume": 34065905, "typical_volume": 23390073.55, "trend": 8.894, "fair_value": 9.113526, "relative_strength": -10.952975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.271632, "energy": 30.474602, "activity_lines": [ 8.007333, 7.969455, 8.395524, 8.678731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }