{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e25bcc29-1dd8-4d29-a4ab-e64ef2879ac4", "symbol": "T12", "name": "Tat Seng Packaging Group Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.757, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.062, "architecture_energy": 13.418, "architecture_maturity": 42.896, "architecture_confidence": 82.381, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.25, "rotation_up": 17.37, "upward_expansion": 41.45, "deceleration": 82.56, "rotation_down": 37.22, "downward_expansion": 35.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.010667, 1.018909, 1.051839, 1.024996 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.01, "trend_reference": 0.957236, "distance_from_trend": 0.055121, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.637119, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.585262, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.082584, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.486945, "excess_performance": 0.33211, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055121, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138756, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.585262, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.394887, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030826, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.419673, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.486945, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.359922, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 500, "relative_activity": 0.003359, "balance": 0.359922, "dry_up": 0.185757, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075249, "annualized_volatility": 0.522115, "from_high_reference": -0.193825, "from_low_reference": 0.593155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.957236, "fair_value_reference": 0.637119, "structural_low": 0.667925, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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12.439262, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.334283, "energy": 15.171551, "activity_lines": [ 1.041, 1.060024, 1.066902, 1.005521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.98, "volume": 8400, "typical_volume": 211980.0, "trend": 0.923701, "fair_value": 0.626325, "relative_strength": 4.003732, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.181217, "energy": 15.504506, "activity_lines": [ 1.021333, 1.040626, 1.062091, 1.009833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.02, "volume": 65200, "typical_volume": 178795.0, "trend": 0.934934, "fair_value": 0.629945, "relative_strength": 6.505372, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.702609, "energy": 13.799351, "activity_lines": [ 1.016333, 1.031815, 1.059765, 1.016045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.01, "volume": 36500, "typical_volume": 163865.0, "trend": 0.946336, "fair_value": 0.633501, "relative_strength": 4.584126, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.229634, "energy": 12.239181, "activity_lines": [ 1.014, 1.023909, 1.056051, 1.020888 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.01, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 148850.0, "trend": 0.957236, "fair_value": 0.637119, "relative_strength": 3.082584, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.061784, "energy": 13.418068, "activity_lines": [ 1.010667, 1.018909, 1.051839, 1.024996 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }