{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2634ccb-95a8-4ba0-a93e-a17ca9a0fe6e", "symbol": "ABSI", "name": "Absci Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.407, "architecture_energy": 26.797, "architecture_maturity": 77.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.909, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.68, "rotation_up": 30.68, "upward_expansion": 67.3, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 27.96, "downward_expansion": 17.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.376, 8.824636, 7.739643, 6.615366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.93, "trend_reference": 5.257, "distance_from_trend": 0.698687, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.738301, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.388786, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 82.878188, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.313544, "excess_performance": 2.12609, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.698687, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.504938, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.388786, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.559692, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.828782, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.252765, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.313544, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.55345, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10268248, "relative_activity": 0.418059, "balance": 1.55345, "dry_up": 0.59787, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198499, "annualized_volatility": 1.016438, "from_high_reference": -0.259229, "from_low_reference": 2.986607 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.257, "fair_value_reference": 3.738301, "structural_low": 2.24, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.178067, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.194616, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.126183, "worst_return": -0.268409, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.182981, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.190017, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.135647, "worst_return": -0.230315, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.450496, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.292181, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.129338, "worst_return": -0.228346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.403543, "positive_rate": 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"2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.070588, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.088757, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.353201, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.047319, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027491, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116883, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward 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9.861667, 8.857818, 7.130143, 6.00443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.56, "volume": 13022735, "typical_volume": 25670494.45, "trend": 4.9315, "fair_value": 3.654327, "relative_strength": 70.112826, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.388378, "energy": 56.150439, "activity_lines": [ 9.127333, 8.796091, 7.307833, 6.182591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.78, "volume": 14645395, "typical_volume": 25636728.55, "trend": 5.0705, "fair_value": 3.691827, "relative_strength": 71.040952, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.301738, "energy": 35.425314, "activity_lines": [ 8.456333, 8.730182, 7.48181, 6.366366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.93, "volume": 10268248, "typical_volume": 24561696.7, "trend": 5.257, "fair_value": 3.738301, "relative_strength": 82.878188, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.406617, "energy": 26.797481, "activity_lines": [ 8.376, 8.824636, 7.739643, 6.615366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }