{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2763df8-ddfd-48d2-bdb4-64e20b02cbd6", "symbol": "688310", "name": "Maider Medical Industry Equipment Co. Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.322, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.387, "architecture_energy": 64.969, "architecture_maturity": 10.827, "architecture_confidence": 82.051, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.0, "rotation_up": 11.96, "upward_expansion": 16.5, "deceleration": 34.54, "rotation_down": 69.65, "downward_expansion": 87.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.967333, 14.737757, 15.558833, 15.818215 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.15, "trend_reference": 16.122717, "distance_from_trend": -0.060332, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.134598, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16458, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.634512, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.070552, "excess_performance": -0.027348, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060332, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16458, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055877, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096345, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033237, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.070552, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.068957, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14773157, "relative_activity": 1.010999, "balance": 1.068957, "dry_up": 1.061354, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135021, "annualized_volatility": 0.564185, "from_high_reference": -0.324264, "from_low_reference": 0.299314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.122717, "fair_value_reference": 18.134598, "structural_low": 11.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.012852, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.005895, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.309726, "worst_return": -0.308772, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.010744, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.000755, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245995, "worst_return": -0.409582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.021526, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.111091, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.98708, "worst_return": -0.451019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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18.607719, "relative_strength": -10.397706, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.240864, "energy": 7.28925, "activity_lines": [ 16.288187, 16.618822, 16.530004, 16.498701 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.67, "volume": 21289005, "typical_volume": 14329436.15, "trend": 16.264717, "fair_value": 18.485496, "relative_strength": -22.371811, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.126302, "energy": 52.969723, "activity_lines": [ 15.046667, 15.873446, 16.16814, 16.263429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.44, "volume": 16031720, "typical_volume": 14388638.3, "trend": 16.207383, "fair_value": 18.362001, "relative_strength": -18.186709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.383486, "energy": 62.924597, "activity_lines": [ 14.314667, 15.34939, 15.90399, 16.081189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.11, "volume": 9941968, "typical_volume": 14393476.75, "trend": 16.128717, "fair_value": 18.234591, "relative_strength": -19.988509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.910995, "energy": 72.797546, "activity_lines": [ 13.727333, 14.829072, 15.625745, 15.881358 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.15, "volume": 14773157, "typical_volume": 14612429.55, "trend": 16.122717, "fair_value": 18.134598, "relative_strength": -9.634512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.386796, "energy": 64.969482, "activity_lines": [ 13.967333, 14.737757, 15.558833, 15.818215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }