{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2802dac-1409-4051-b458-86ece14e4b81",
    "symbol": "RCH",
    "name": "Reach plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -72.235,
    "architecture_energy": 78.035,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.069,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.085,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.21,
        "rotation_up": 11.73,
        "upward_expansion": 19.92,
        "deceleration": 34.27,
        "rotation_down": 72.43,
        "downward_expansion": 88.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.45376,
        0.484724,
        0.509548,
        0.529107
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.4275,
    "trend_reference": 0.552225,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.225858,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.627471,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.318694,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -29.700328,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.279744,
    "excess_performance": -0.330979,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.225858,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005362,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.318694,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131415,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.297003,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103423,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.279744,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.773769,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6948359,
      "relative_activity": 0.873469,
      "balance": 0.773769,
      "dry_up": 2.696237,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.122153,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.616351,
      "from_high_reference": -0.390553,
      "from_low_reference": 0.100652
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.552225,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.627471,
      "structural_low": 0.388406,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.055263,
        "positive_rate": 0.354839,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.612903,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073598,
        "regime_survival": 0.83871,
        "best_return": 0.38532,
        "worst_return": -0.288443,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.004882,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011286,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.373286,
        "worst_return": -0.422494,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.031224,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058694,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.702004,
        "worst_return": -0.627534,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.284398,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.495557,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.104573,
        "worst_return": -0.639574,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.119898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.170508,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 6779218.55,
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        "relative_strength": -33.800742,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -77.621096,
        "energy": 42.692779,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.4455,
        "volume": 28178272,
        "typical_volume": 7790359.05,
        "trend": 0.555402,
        "fair_value": 0.628363,
        "relative_strength": -27.292672,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.125334,
        "energy": 62.931849,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.478661,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.4275,
        "volume": 6948359,
        "typical_volume": 7954903.95,
        "trend": 0.552225,
        "fair_value": 0.627471,
        "relative_strength": -29.700328,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.23477,
        "energy": 78.035256,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}