{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2836ca8-ce7f-42c4-b59e-709d5d98c6de",
    "symbol": "PTPXE",
    "name": "Amundi PEA Japon (TOPIX) UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.419,
    "architecture_energy": 44.309,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.532,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.241,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.73,
        "rotation_up": 48.58,
        "upward_expansion": 74.6,
        "deceleration": 67.84,
        "rotation_down": 26.87,
        "downward_expansion": 10.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.058667,
        37.9452,
        37.356143,
        36.726768
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.119999,
    "trend_reference": 35.975333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087412,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.518164,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325286,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.236887,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.116853,
    "excess_performance": 0.063541,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087412,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054857,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325286,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0516,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072369,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04532,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116853,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.983758,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 58279,
      "relative_activity": 1.262161,
      "balance": 0.983758,
      "dry_up": 1.263861,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032193,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.19727,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001149,
      "from_low_reference": 0.29902
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.975333,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.518164,
      "structural_low": 32.505001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.008643,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005188,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.09259,
        "worst_return": -0.112709,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.007396,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004505,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.141547,
        "worst_return": -0.059472,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.024515,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.118336,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.126327,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.525084,
        "energy": 36.300462,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 36.174999,
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        "typical_volume": 64093.8,
        "trend": 33.607386,
        "fair_value": 28.401818,
        "relative_strength": 11.768876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 49.521523,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 66027.6,
        "trend": 33.77582,
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        "relative_strength": 14.411832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.239387,
        "energy": 53.758952,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 36.919998,
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        "typical_volume": 67340.75,
        "trend": 33.9491,
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        "relative_strength": 13.068625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.465701,
        "energy": 63.669957,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 78516,
        "typical_volume": 68129.9,
        "trend": 34.104466,
        "fair_value": 28.645504,
        "relative_strength": 11.450113,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.615204,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.973999,
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        "typical_volume": 64558.55,
        "trend": 34.276566,
        "fair_value": 28.724542,
        "relative_strength": 11.002197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.590837,
        "energy": 67.795049,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.085032
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.861,
        "volume": 8368,
        "typical_volume": 61464.4,
        "trend": 34.4295,
        "fair_value": 28.802824,
        "relative_strength": 8.544601,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.993578,
        "energy": 61.624729,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 38.375,
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        "typical_volume": 59040.7,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 37.740002,
        "volume": 11272,
        "typical_volume": 56688.05,
        "trend": 34.850533,
        "fair_value": 28.98319,
        "relative_strength": 9.858883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.764734,
        "energy": 68.162671,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.227852,
          35.704983
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.325001,
        "volume": 12861,
        "typical_volume": 51457.3,
        "trend": 35.0591,
        "fair_value": 29.074703,
        "relative_strength": 9.527745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.464955,
        "energy": 74.956435,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.893734,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.32,
        "volume": 56757,
        "typical_volume": 50308.55,
        "trend": 35.269266,
        "fair_value": 29.168376,
        "relative_strength": 11.206731,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.541808,
        "energy": 75.38361,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.115401,
          37.670346,
          36.707433,
          36.139523
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.860001,
        "volume": 57371,
        "typical_volume": 49605.25,
        "trend": 35.429767,
        "fair_value": 29.251196,
        "relative_strength": 6.553692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.983416,
        "energy": 46.272242,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.760667,
          37.590764,
          36.7933,
          36.242151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.720001,
        "volume": 49674,
        "typical_volume": 46840.25,
        "trend": 35.620833,
        "fair_value": 29.33435,
        "relative_strength": 8.200912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.2132,
        "energy": 42.91841,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.692668,
          37.655092,
          36.960024,
          36.389908
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.52,
        "volume": 68106,
        "typical_volume": 45900.1,
        "trend": 35.797833,
        "fair_value": 29.420997,
        "relative_strength": 5.612505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.327515,
        "energy": 30.738964,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.601667,
          37.660146,
          37.090019,
          36.512435
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.119999,
        "volume": 58279,
        "typical_volume": 46174.0,
        "trend": 35.975333,
        "fair_value": 29.518164,
        "relative_strength": 7.236887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.419167,
        "energy": 44.309246,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.058667,
          37.9452,
          37.356143,
          36.726768
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}