{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e28d4583-6382-4611-bf1e-bd13af19dc4c", "symbol": "6203", "name": "Sea Sonic Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.291, "architecture_energy": 46.86, "architecture_maturity": 21.281, "architecture_confidence": 93.0, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.89, "rotation_up": 13.24, "upward_expansion": 8.89, "deceleration": 40.72, "rotation_down": 59.19, "downward_expansion": 82.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.71384, 61.331318, 62.411892, 62.546965 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 60.099998, "trend_reference": 62.670522, "distance_from_trend": -0.041016, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 67.726272, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112604, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.345768, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.004494, "excess_performance": -0.436878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042902, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112604, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039972, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.333458, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007042, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004494, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.774843, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 552174, "relative_activity": 0.407372, "balance": 0.774843, "dry_up": 0.425438, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053476, "annualized_volatility": 0.227054, "from_high_reference": -0.26925, "from_low_reference": 0.061039 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.670522, "fair_value_reference": 67.726272, "structural_low": 56.642613, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.021639, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.04461, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.214052, "worst_return": -0.176968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.07832, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.151766, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.227124, "worst_return": -0.329825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.033254, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.171138, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.044349, "worst_return": -0.263514, 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.675114, "volume": 711713, "typical_volume": 1355355.05, "trend": 62.941445, "fair_value": 68.086166, "relative_strength": -30.525805, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.310117, "energy": 33.141162, "activity_lines": [ 61.437851, 62.115904, 62.843647, 62.848574 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.0, "volume": 560284, "typical_volume": 1353407.05, "trend": 62.833488, "fair_value": 67.891726, "relative_strength": -30.943815, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.933362, "energy": 41.569929, "activity_lines": [ 61.13977, 61.75723, 62.666935, 62.723319 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 60.099998, "volume": 552174, "typical_volume": 1355452.8, "trend": 62.670522, "fair_value": 67.726272, "relative_strength": -33.345768, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.291035, "energy": 46.860441, "activity_lines": [ 60.71384, 61.331318, 62.411892, 62.546965 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }