{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e28e7e89-9d87-42d9-beaa-46cc5d41554d", "symbol": "002201", "name": "Jiangsu Jiuding New Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.259, "architecture_energy": 85.359, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.126, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.81, "rotation_up": 8.63, "upward_expansion": 21.26, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 79.3, "downward_expansion": 96.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.926, 8.852034, 10.174932, 10.7991 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 8.48, "trend_reference": 11.541952, "distance_from_trend": -0.265289, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.515736, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128299, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.267007, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.375092, "excess_performance": -0.382492, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.265289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017308, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.128299, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.80562, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.19267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.469922, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.375092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.42218, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96014672, "relative_activity": 0.551215, "balance": 0.42218, "dry_up": 0.54085, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.163186, "annualized_volatility": 0.615377, "from_high_reference": -0.496144, "from_low_reference": 0.304615 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.541952, "fair_value_reference": 7.515736, "structural_low": 6.5, "invalidation": 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"relative_strength": -20.522394, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.028046, "energy": 48.680885, "activity_lines": [ 10.480477, 10.954342, 11.596, 11.843234 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.51, "volume": 100808311, "typical_volume": 177412516.65, "trend": 11.834373, "fair_value": 7.55487, "relative_strength": -26.151069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.551374, "energy": 77.073019, "activity_lines": [ 9.358667, 10.222063, 11.179768, 11.562494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.29, "volume": 96487808, "typical_volume": 174441244.25, "trend": 11.79861, "fair_value": 7.540365, "relative_strength": -28.296478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.845145, "energy": 88.952365, "activity_lines": [ 8.390667, 9.576928, 10.772394, 11.269309 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.67, "volume": 83526182, "typical_volume": 173220575.55, "trend": 11.639629, "fair_value": 7.525039, "relative_strength": -23.232171, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.355211, "energy": 88.713539, "activity_lines": [ 7.879333, 9.100247, 10.425401, 11.002947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.48, "volume": 96014672, "typical_volume": 174187386.45, "trend": 11.541952, "fair_value": 7.515736, "relative_strength": -19.267007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.258792, "energy": 85.359168, "activity_lines": [ 7.926, 8.852034, 10.174932, 10.7991 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }