{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2a8ef21-7be2-4945-bfe4-d5c59eda4b80", "symbol": "4542", "name": "Asia Neo Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.986, "architecture_energy": 21.956, "architecture_maturity": 71.583, "architecture_confidence": 95.629, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.72, "rotation_up": 16.55, "upward_expansion": 51.64, "deceleration": 93.97, "rotation_down": 42.11, "downward_expansion": 22.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 276.666667, 315.145455, 305.217444, 274.970318 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 267.5, "trend_reference": 231.143543, "distance_from_trend": 0.15729, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 100.543531, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.660539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 34.866333, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.007175, "excess_performance": 0.565803, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15729, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.63205, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.660539, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051959, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.348663, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21913, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.007175, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.711675, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4270297, "relative_activity": 0.801486, "balance": 1.711675, "dry_up": 0.690394, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.31028, "annualized_volatility": 1.071513, "from_high_reference": -0.507366, "from_low_reference": 4.716502 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 231.143543, "fair_value_reference": 100.543531, "structural_low": 129.293632, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.002963, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.01157, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.254335, "worst_return": -0.140065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.088932, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.020931, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.173119, "worst_return": -0.096774, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.033794, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.043789, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.249067, "worst_return": 0.029392, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 327.5, "volume": 4163278, "typical_volume": 6118171.1, "trend": 206.649555, "fair_value": 94.132909, "relative_strength": 89.750068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.580908, "energy": 56.650622, "activity_lines": [ 379.866667, 361.127273, 300.300158, 259.577181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 316.0, "volume": 678079, "typical_volume": 5832950.65, "trend": 214.490928, "fair_value": 95.990392, "relative_strength": 75.085502, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.500349, "energy": 42.256248, "activity_lines": [ 354.9, 358.063636, 306.148548, 266.632049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 231.0, "volume": 3729654, "typical_volume": 5517856.95, "trend": 219.058044, "fair_value": 97.301441, "relative_strength": 27.885218, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.412641, "energy": 21.389166, "activity_lines": [ 307.666667, 337.527273, 303.135759, 267.69715 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 290.0, "volume": 6035568, "typical_volume": 5412268.95, "trend": 225.707859, "fair_value": 98.995695, "relative_strength": 53.758797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.706774, "energy": 25.320531, "activity_lines": [ 289.5, 328.563636, 305.470823, 272.274051 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 267.5, "volume": 4270297, "typical_volume": 5327972.8, "trend": 231.143543, "fair_value": 100.543531, "relative_strength": 34.866333, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.985956, "energy": 21.95556, "activity_lines": [ 276.666667, 315.145455, 305.217444, 274.970318 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }