{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2bf69f3-2bc9-4c65-9d2c-c842baf426b6",
    "symbol": "XIU",
    "name": "iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.284,
    "architecture_energy": 74.691,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.903,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.33,
        "rotation_up": 75.98,
        "upward_expansion": 90.52,
        "deceleration": 50.19,
        "rotation_down": 19.36,
        "downward_expansion": 12.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        51.847583,
        50.961548
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 54.139999,
    "trend_reference": 49.867593,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.085675,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.13374,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.41974,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.434821,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.148785,
    "excess_performance": 0.028363,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085675,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045415,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.41974,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041489,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014348,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015852,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148785,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.558169,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15574600,
      "relative_activity": 0.953317,
      "balance": 2.558169,
      "dry_up": 1.185859,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016586,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.110515,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005145,
      "from_low_reference": 0.326445
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.867593,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.13374,
      "structural_low": 45.772522,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": 0.01335,
        "positive_rate": 0.723404,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.723404,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000811,
        "regime_survival": 0.851064,
        "best_return": 0.050053,
        "worst_return": -0.051878,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
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        "worst_return": -0.045715,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.084815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.021633,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 37.657486,
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        "energy": 89.61877,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.740002,
        "volume": 19501500,
        "typical_volume": 16931580.0,
        "trend": 49.451735,
        "fair_value": 37.81187,
        "relative_strength": 1.700372,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 84.589486,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.759998,
        "volume": 16007900,
        "typical_volume": 16687620.0,
        "trend": 49.652654,
        "fair_value": 37.969323,
        "relative_strength": 2.114422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.536236,
        "energy": 73.304343,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.727333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.139999,
        "volume": 15574600,
        "typical_volume": 16337265.0,
        "trend": 49.867593,
        "fair_value": 38.13374,
        "relative_strength": 1.434821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.283829,
        "energy": 74.690911,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}