{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2bf8f72-b03c-41c9-87c4-f56a9b513b25", "symbol": "BSET", "name": "Bassett Furniture Industries", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.019, "architecture_energy": 63.591, "architecture_maturity": 46.578, "architecture_confidence": 85.634, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.66, "rotation_up": 67.83, "upward_expansion": 84.38, "deceleration": 67.56, "rotation_down": 16.18, "downward_expansion": 11.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.010667, 19.443545, 17.636559, 16.727841 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.35, "trend_reference": 15.904947, "distance_from_trend": 0.279476, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.389837, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.414192, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.509679, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.325978, "excess_performance": 0.138525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.279476, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063566, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.414192, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.421606, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.135097, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.378375, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.325978, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.599909, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 210988, "relative_activity": 0.845871, "balance": 4.599909, "dry_up": 1.078356, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079655, "annualized_volatility": 0.394139, "from_high_reference": -0.085804, "from_low_reference": 0.567143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.904947, "fair_value_reference": 14.389837, "structural_low": 12.985417, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.031983, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.029584, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.131127, "worst_return": -0.08328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.016216, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.106539, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.322613, "worst_return": -0.230056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.018338, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.18338, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.304, "worst_return": -0.128263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"relative_strength": 15.986548, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.900772, "energy": 96.468638, "activity_lines": [ 18.938667, 17.267765, 15.931459, 15.568141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.6, "volume": 410641, "typical_volume": 245216.2, "trend": 15.575087, "fair_value": 14.297423, "relative_strength": 25.360143, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.163455, "energy": 96.668395, "activity_lines": [ 20.155667, 18.257636, 16.543319, 15.966355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.49, "volume": 284658, "typical_volume": 252086.8, "trend": 15.669036, "fair_value": 14.328745, "relative_strength": 15.023905, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.30992, "energy": 88.428099, "activity_lines": [ 20.278, 18.724273, 16.921657, 16.21893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.97, "volume": 169623, "typical_volume": 248201.85, "trend": 15.762855, "fair_value": 14.354366, "relative_strength": 11.274802, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.312841, "energy": 81.597494, "activity_lines": [ 19.970667, 18.997818, 17.225694, 16.431896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.35, "volume": 210988, "typical_volume": 249432.9, "trend": 15.904947, "fair_value": 14.389837, "relative_strength": 13.509679, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.018521, "energy": 63.591097, "activity_lines": [ 20.010667, 19.443545, 17.636559, 16.727841 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }