{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2d0e321-d9ae-46bf-933f-2cb0383a4faa", "symbol": "P2IN34", "name": "Pinterest, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.346, "architecture_energy": 86.156, "architecture_maturity": 20.123, "architecture_confidence": 63.557, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.31, "rotation_up": 78.44, "upward_expansion": 96.82, "deceleration": 41.92, "rotation_down": 9.96, "downward_expansion": 21.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.452, 18.977091, 18.213334, 17.728301 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.799999, "trend_reference": 17.576, "distance_from_trend": 0.126536, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.415449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.27778, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.24708, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.178571, "excess_performance": 0.23562, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126536, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087861, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.27778, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10347, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152471, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.29533, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.178571, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.683059, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4440, "relative_activity": 1.96582, "balance": 0.683059, "dry_up": 1.201629, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041686, "annualized_volatility": 0.583059, "from_high_reference": -0.429559, "from_low_reference": 0.617647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.576, "fair_value_reference": 27.415449, "structural_low": 12.24, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.007707, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031118, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.094041, "worst_return": -0.042781, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.054041, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.051509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.088235, "worst_return": 0.019846, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.063126, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04561, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.351604, "worst_return": -0.225352, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.132626, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012868, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.701872, "worst_return": -0.43662, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01547, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.058655, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.070297, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.060136, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.20136, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014665, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.255422, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028489, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 25.396208, "energy": 29.858047, "activity_lines": [ 18.044, 17.674909, 17.184572, 17.33342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.0, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 2080.95, "trend": 18.201667, "fair_value": 27.497628, "relative_strength": -27.047948, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.852022, "energy": 52.891849, "activity_lines": [ 18.436667, 17.96, 17.397619, 17.375441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.860001, "volume": 283, "typical_volume": 2086.75, "trend": 18.023667, "fair_value": 27.47468, "relative_strength": -24.452577, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.064045, "energy": 65.930941, "activity_lines": [ 18.668001, 18.184546, 17.579191, 17.417914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.34, "volume": 2231, "typical_volume": 2012.7, "trend": 17.841667, "fair_value": 27.448398, "relative_strength": -25.077683, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.474914, "energy": 64.971257, "activity_lines": [ 18.658667, 18.282909, 17.693143, 17.438323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.26, "volume": 3902, "typical_volume": 2040.3, "trend": 17.723667, "fair_value": 27.433398, "relative_strength": -17.383001, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.282107, "energy": 71.445689, "activity_lines": [ 19.24, 18.704909, 17.985096, 17.594344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.799999, "volume": 4440, "typical_volume": 2258.6, "trend": 17.576, "fair_value": 27.415449, "relative_strength": -15.24708, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.346293, "energy": 86.156224, "activity_lines": [ 19.452, 18.977091, 18.213334, 17.728301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }