{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e2d8c571-24bb-4cac-9573-519115581e2e",
    "symbol": "WUGI",
    "name": "AXS ESOTERICA NEXTG ECONOMY ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.506,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 23.264,
    "architecture_energy": 23.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.443,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.847,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.15,
        "rotation_up": 17.8,
        "upward_expansion": 52.07,
        "deceleration": 93.98,
        "rotation_down": 38.62,
        "downward_expansion": 20.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        83.140653,
        85.386773,
        84.990969,
        81.827418
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 85.3203,
    "trend_reference": 78.0583,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093033,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.544757,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.432877,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.041072,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.220369,
    "excess_performance": 0.094745,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093033,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067984,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.432877,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089839,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010411,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059533,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220369,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.422201,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1087,
      "relative_activity": 0.119935,
      "balance": 0.422201,
      "dry_up": 0.469699,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074026,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.296548,
      "from_high_reference": -0.121315,
      "from_low_reference": 0.361859
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.0583,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.544757,
      "structural_low": 62.6499,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.023116,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004948,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.218729,
        "worst_return": -0.158745,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.069008,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021488,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.279081,
        "worst_return": -0.174352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.268268,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.113488,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.334345,
        "worst_return": -0.174726,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.13518,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038046,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.425078,
        "worst_return": -0.410881,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059908,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.197343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.038697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.045755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.227323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.108297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.046097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.115013,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070134,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045028,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 8742.6,
        "trend": 32.648869,
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      },
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        "trend": 71.408709,
        "fair_value": 54.727365,
        "relative_strength": 3.666752,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.088461,
        "energy": 42.160574,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 19997.25,
        "trend": 71.591465,
        "fair_value": 55.046216,
        "relative_strength": 3.178319,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.008335,
        "energy": 51.92802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 84.3488,
        "volume": 6643,
        "typical_volume": 13769.75,
        "trend": 72.009562,
        "fair_value": 55.393663,
        "relative_strength": 6.994357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.758412,
        "energy": 96.030438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 12628.8,
        "trend": 72.339166,
        "fair_value": 55.718018,
        "relative_strength": 4.621955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.094161,
        "energy": 91.76688,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 4581,
        "typical_volume": 12449.75,
        "trend": 72.683363,
        "fair_value": 56.033008,
        "relative_strength": 5.836031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.259438,
        "energy": 91.797849,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 6224.6,
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        "relative_strength": 8.363907,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 8372.9,
        "trend": 73.528288,
        "fair_value": 56.68186,
        "relative_strength": 7.72426,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 2802,
        "typical_volume": 7910.25,
        "trend": 74.129244,
        "fair_value": 57.013237,
        "relative_strength": 11.655347,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 8413.45,
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        "fair_value": 57.392683,
        "relative_strength": 18.090069,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 82.900419,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 90.287,
        "volume": 17089,
        "typical_volume": 8946.95,
        "trend": 75.662092,
        "fair_value": 57.734394,
        "relative_strength": 13.897553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.760173,
        "energy": 65.210251,
        "activity_lines": [
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          78.819009
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 88.269,
        "volume": 1787,
        "typical_volume": 8899.55,
        "trend": 76.165442,
        "fair_value": 58.06516,
        "relative_strength": 8.781011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 60.876312,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 89.9423,
        "volume": 6177,
        "typical_volume": 9022.65,
        "trend": 76.784267,
        "fair_value": 58.395137,
        "relative_strength": 9.116875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.045606,
        "energy": 56.576088,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.277827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 81.7048,
        "volume": 4188,
        "typical_volume": 8872.5,
        "trend": 77.128547,
        "fair_value": 58.676852,
        "relative_strength": 0.66775,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.182226,
        "energy": 33.044641,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.287053,
          88.043865,
          84.395789,
          80.838641
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 81.644,
        "volume": 798,
        "typical_volume": 8726.55,
        "trend": 77.404157,
        "fair_value": 58.951641,
        "relative_strength": 1.166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.261922,
        "energy": 24.314575,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.779407,
          86.963429,
          84.575898,
          81.129961
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 80.5561,
        "volume": 10955,
        "typical_volume": 9151.55,
        "trend": 77.66165,
        "fair_value": 59.22562,
        "relative_strength": -1.233562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.396339,
        "energy": 22.412483,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.841633,
          85.705529,
          84.587841,
          81.333312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 85.3203,
        "volume": 1087,
        "typical_volume": 9063.25,
        "trend": 78.0583,
        "fair_value": 59.544757,
        "relative_strength": 1.041072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.263735,
        "energy": 23.47683,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.140653,
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          84.990969,
          81.827418
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}