{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e2e3c5cb-a2b4-4a08-946e-2c7f86adedf7", "symbol": "002717", "name": "LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.25, "architecture_energy": 43.762, "architecture_maturity": 89.554, "architecture_confidence": 86.966, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.17, "rotation_up": 28.59, "upward_expansion": 7.34, "deceleration": 60.3, "rotation_down": 42.33, "downward_expansion": 78.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.026667, 1.035091, 1.107048, 1.229613 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.03, "trend_reference": 1.377333, "distance_from_trend": -0.252178, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.192244, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.530162, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.085799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.35625, "excess_performance": -0.36365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.252178, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151191, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.530162, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105327, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.350858, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011554, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.35625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598988, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 335428117, "relative_activity": 1.262439, "balance": 0.598988, "dry_up": 1.129126, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146378, "annualized_volatility": 0.661825, "from_high_reference": -0.502415, "from_low_reference": 0.197674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.377333, "fair_value_reference": 2.192244, "structural_low": 0.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.021505, "positive_rate": 0.548387, "directional_follow_through": 0.451613, "median_excess_return": 0.024014, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 1.242718, "worst_return": -0.430851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.003356, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.003015, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 2.043478, "worst_return": -0.391534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.202454, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.031033, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.347594, "worst_return": -0.348432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 2.264744, "relative_strength": -42.656842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.48715, "energy": 59.224986, "activity_lines": [ 1.052, 1.078364, 1.25181, 1.362409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.02, "volume": 328818914, "typical_volume": 277785271.95, "trend": 1.462, "fair_value": 2.249679, "relative_strength": -42.286805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.093944, "energy": 60.464758, "activity_lines": [ 1.032667, 1.057818, 1.215095, 1.332452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.09, "volume": 366150713, "typical_volume": 274081904.25, "trend": 1.444, "fair_value": 2.235705, "relative_strength": -31.299323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.828791, "energy": 52.510327, "activity_lines": [ 1.042667, 1.056364, 1.188095, 1.308452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.99, "volume": 303406946, "typical_volume": 270668032.3, "trend": 1.421, "fair_value": 2.221538, "relative_strength": -36.973224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.585096, "energy": 50.836899, "activity_lines": [ 1.03, 1.041818, 1.155238, 1.279161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.02, "volume": 195042749, "typical_volume": 265049521.15, "trend": 1.397, "fair_value": 2.207308, "relative_strength": -33.208307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.59387, "energy": 48.2305, "activity_lines": [ 1.029333, 1.037273, 1.128952, 1.25329 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.03, "volume": 335428117, "typical_volume": 265698558.05, "trend": 1.377333, "fair_value": 2.192244, "relative_strength": -35.085799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.250466, "energy": 43.761606, "activity_lines": [ 1.026667, 1.035091, 1.107048, 1.229613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }