{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e3039ddc-ccd2-425e-b65c-83c7c8df2747",
    "symbol": "0055",
    "name": "Yuanta/P-shares MSCI Taiwan Financials ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.778,
    "architecture_energy": 66.448,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.141,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.672,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.74,
        "rotation_up": 60.86,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.6,
        "rotation_down": 24.13,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        40.161381,
        38.282366
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.900002,
    "trend_reference": 36.089667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.216415,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.692115,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.585289,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.376027,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.37059,
    "excess_performance": -0.008722,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216415,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121785,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.585289,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.265899,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02376,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.223221,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37059,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.976048,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2034504,
      "relative_activity": 1.23382,
      "balance": 2.976048,
      "dry_up": 1.266037,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045576,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251034,
      "from_high_reference": -0.020527,
      "from_low_reference": 0.568464
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.089667,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.692115,
      "structural_low": 31.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 46,
        "median_return": 0.00695,
        "positive_rate": 0.630435,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.630435,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000238,
        "regime_survival": 0.804348,
        "best_return": 0.282006,
        "worst_return": -0.102134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 17,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.823529,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015828,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
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        "worst_return": -0.164461,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021401,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.153257,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.018616,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1482072.9,
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        "fair_value": 27.262466,
        "relative_strength": -4.742138,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.797131,
        "energy": 67.351266,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.653011
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 42.549999,
        "volume": 1177104,
        "typical_volume": 1459304.5,
        "trend": 35.268666,
        "fair_value": 27.400353,
        "relative_strength": -4.82085,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.671942,
        "energy": 67.309928,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.218,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.689999,
        "volume": 3708255,
        "typical_volume": 1589003.3,
        "trend": 35.691333,
        "fair_value": 27.550117,
        "relative_strength": 1.537279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.528152,
        "energy": 71.428316,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.064666,
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          39.527524,
          37.752774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.900002,
        "volume": 2034504,
        "typical_volume": 1648946.75,
        "trend": 36.089667,
        "fair_value": 27.692115,
        "relative_strength": -2.376027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.777529,
        "energy": 66.447822,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.480667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}