{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e30bba59-f073-4c71-b89f-dfe860dc27d3", "symbol": "8255", "name": "Actron Technology Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.899, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.35, "architecture_energy": 17.532, "architecture_maturity": 45.688, "architecture_confidence": 77.717, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.81, "rotation_up": 15.53, "upward_expansion": 41.11, "deceleration": 84.79, "rotation_down": 45.55, "downward_expansion": 37.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 143.7, 153.637976, 157.289142, 151.092555 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 149.0, "trend_reference": 142.86836, "distance_from_trend": 0.042918, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 148.681584, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002142, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.87601, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.199363, "excess_performance": -0.242009, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042918, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108669, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002142, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068261, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20876, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.199363, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.998858, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2591410, "relative_activity": 0.327259, "balance": 0.998858, "dry_up": 0.360574, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.190368, "annualized_volatility": 0.62983, "from_high_reference": -0.348844, "from_low_reference": 0.330872 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 142.86836, "fair_value_reference": 148.681584, "structural_low": 111.956697, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.008346, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.001821, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.331619, "worst_return": -0.060451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.056293, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.022877, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.165049, "worst_return": -0.201238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.022516, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.13852, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.090665, "worst_return": -0.169036, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 159.757557, 167.677897, 159.580842, 150.890421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 136.0, "volume": 3399882, "typical_volume": 7919391.05, "trend": 140.894625, "fair_value": 148.908997, "relative_strength": -24.828914, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.895089, "energy": 16.506002, "activity_lines": [ 149.8, 161.353704, 158.314161, 150.617896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 141.0, "volume": 2214975, "typical_volume": 7954434.05, "trend": 141.748159, "fair_value": 148.729922, "relative_strength": -23.174555, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.202675, "energy": 18.99581, "activity_lines": [ 143.9, 156.269256, 157.46296, 150.624695 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 149.0, "volume": 2591410, "typical_volume": 7918528.5, "trend": 142.86836, "fair_value": 148.681584, "relative_strength": -20.87601, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.350031, "energy": 17.532432, "activity_lines": [ 143.7, 153.637976, 157.289142, 151.092555 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }