{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e30ca878-3902-4741-bb81-88aa4914a6b0",
    "symbol": "EXIA",
    "name": "iShares DAX ESG UCITS ETF (DE)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.152,
    "architecture_energy": 76.381,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.716,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.725,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.73,
        "rotation_up": 63.78,
        "upward_expansion": 87.13,
        "deceleration": 49.96,
        "rotation_down": 18.67,
        "downward_expansion": 16.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.0908,
        8.016036,
        7.8865,
        7.766467
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.299,
    "trend_reference": 7.656267,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083949,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.625192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252643,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.767092,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.092405,
    "excess_performance": 0.027765,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083949,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02559,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252643,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060578,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017671,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004811,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092405,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.211162,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 236856,
      "relative_activity": 3.159584,
      "balance": 2.211162,
      "dry_up": 1.548024,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023043,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.182701,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003721,
      "from_low_reference": 0.224583
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.656267,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.625192,
      "structural_low": 6.777,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.013161,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001522,
        "regime_survival": 0.742857,
        "best_return": 0.114477,
        "worst_return": -0.108805,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.023613,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004176,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.135641,
        "worst_return": -0.069141,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.089854,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007383,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.136576,
        "worst_return": 0.024691,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.187778,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002485,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.209542,
        "worst_return": 0.16464,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.003035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 7.4171,
        "fair_value": 6.375006,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 132364.75,
        "trend": 7.432067,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 125930.65,
        "trend": 7.4467,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.789063,
        "energy": 47.037864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 1.452848,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 7.4852,
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        "relative_strength": 1.598944,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 55.95046,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 93893.45,
        "trend": 7.5006,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 7.542867,
        "fair_value": 6.511122,
        "relative_strength": 2.566154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.712771,
        "energy": 52.012094,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2924,
        "typical_volume": 82833.65,
        "trend": 7.5685,
        "fair_value": 6.531692,
        "relative_strength": 2.111627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.229897,
        "energy": 71.173549,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 80323,
        "typical_volume": 82566.15,
        "trend": 7.586433,
        "fair_value": 6.549885,
        "relative_strength": 2.31232,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.678834,
        "energy": 66.623891,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 93712,
        "typical_volume": 83875.2,
        "trend": 7.5998,
        "fair_value": 6.567519,
        "relative_strength": 2.359894,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.947423,
        "energy": 62.503761,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.9366,
          7.887818,
          7.749086,
          7.671032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.929,
        "volume": 47956,
        "typical_volume": 67493.1,
        "trend": 7.614267,
        "fair_value": 6.58475,
        "relative_strength": 1.981804,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.620928,
        "energy": 58.532604,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.937133,
          7.903927,
          7.78109,
          7.692271
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.1,
        "volume": 85662,
        "typical_volume": 67741.3,
        "trend": 7.6347,
        "fair_value": 6.604205,
        "relative_strength": 2.008312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.315327,
        "energy": 52.709427,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.989933,
          7.944291,
          7.826324,
          7.723609
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.299,
        "volume": 236856,
        "typical_volume": 74964.3,
        "trend": 7.656267,
        "fair_value": 6.625192,
        "relative_strength": 1.767092,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.152188,
        "energy": 76.380585,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.0908,
          8.016036,
          7.8865,
          7.766467
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}