{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3202201-9975-4413-a671-e4174de7bf04", "symbol": "NVDL", "name": "GRANITESHARES 2X LONG NVDA DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 90.932, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.971, "architecture_energy": 23.202, "architecture_maturity": 32.465, "architecture_confidence": 62.536, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.51, "rotation_up": 43.96, "upward_expansion": 60.15, "deceleration": 55.3, "rotation_down": 23.31, "downward_expansion": 19.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.526, 31.598545, 32.098302, 31.21628 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 36.43, "trend_reference": 30.211889, "distance_from_trend": 0.205817, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.340564, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.791002, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.266299, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.287582, "excess_performance": 0.100129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.205817, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028482, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.791002, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209389, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.072663, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025956, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.287582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.988822, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72564749, "relative_activity": 1.548938, "balance": 0.988822, "dry_up": 1.360616, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149746, "annualized_volatility": 0.726029, "from_high_reference": -0.158142, "from_low_reference": 0.691534 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.211889, "fair_value_reference": 20.340564, "structural_low": 21.536667, "invalidation": "A 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29.947556, "fair_value": 19.801759, "relative_strength": -7.843954, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.082004, "energy": 12.569461, "activity_lines": [ 30.438889, 31.244303, 31.60527, 30.73481 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.49, "volume": 54764505, "typical_volume": 44698638.1, "trend": 29.974667, "fair_value": 19.972594, "relative_strength": -2.467342, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.214377, "energy": 8.086254, "activity_lines": [ 30.778667, 31.058242, 31.702492, 30.834323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.42, "volume": 60017978, "typical_volume": 45754441.4, "trend": 29.955, "fair_value": 20.132226, "relative_strength": -9.089635, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.915984, "energy": 4.515251, "activity_lines": [ 30.545333, 30.63497, 31.57427, 30.798538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.43, "volume": 72564749, "typical_volume": 46848066.85, "trend": 30.211889, "fair_value": 20.340564, "relative_strength": 7.266299, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.970947, "energy": 23.202185, "activity_lines": [ 32.526, 31.598545, 32.098302, 31.21628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }