{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3365293-6888-449a-8c42-7d0709b45b9b", "symbol": "HIDE", "name": "ALPHA ARCHITECT HIGH INFLATION AND DEFLATION ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.972, "architecture_energy": 54.31, "architecture_maturity": 4.997, "architecture_confidence": 59.507, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.08, "rotation_up": 66.66, "upward_expansion": 79.95, "deceleration": 52.7, "rotation_down": 12.09, "downward_expansion": 11.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.429313, 24.308998, 24.286469, 24.21753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.3491, "trend_reference": 24.049487, "distance_from_trend": 0.012458, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.302465, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091767, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.110477, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.042319, "excess_performance": -0.145134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.012458, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021334, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.091767, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017496, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091105, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019608, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.042319, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.964722, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 254455, "relative_activity": 1.020082, "balance": 0.964722, "dry_up": 1.195978, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010958, "annualized_volatility": 0.054828, "from_high_reference": -0.014206, "from_low_reference": 0.100231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.049487, "fair_value_reference": 22.302465, "structural_low": 23.335, 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"close": 23.9111, "volume": 71802, "typical_volume": 232761.05, "trend": 23.692889, "fair_value": 22.171118, "relative_strength": -14.386277, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.909632, "energy": 20.85131, "activity_lines": [ 24.135613, 24.246684, 24.201787, 24.010909 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 24.0758, "volume": 87809, "typical_volume": 232985.15, "trend": 23.735424, "fair_value": 22.18871, "relative_strength": -9.445309, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.862823, "energy": 23.420228, "activity_lines": [ 24.089073, 24.205847, 24.200543, 24.035613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 23.9827, "volume": 121715, "typical_volume": 235781.65, "trend": 23.774855, "fair_value": 22.205688, "relative_strength": -10.280413, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.451028, "energy": 17.688045, "activity_lines": [ 24.037447, 24.150978, 24.187027, 24.051566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.095, "volume": 150572, "typical_volume": 226092.45, "trend": 23.823352, "fair_value": 22.223211, "relative_strength": -11.158215, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.657536, "energy": 18.743382, "activity_lines": [ 24.04474, 24.12318, 24.182264, 24.072221 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.4896, "volume": 351481, "typical_volume": 235755.5, "trend": 23.88485, "fair_value": 22.24309, "relative_strength": -5.57425, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.609907, "energy": 23.693635, "activity_lines": [ 24.189253, 24.174775, 24.213134, 24.115204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.64, "volume": 424999, "typical_volume": 245187.2, "trend": 23.94285, "fair_value": 22.263845, "relative_strength": -3.291882, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.277904, "energy": 45.009976, "activity_lines": [ 24.36564, 24.253351, 24.255642, 24.163924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.425, "volume": 162392, "typical_volume": 245801.1, "trend": 24.00035, "fair_value": 22.283376, "relative_strength": -4.432538, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.917721, "energy": 54.017354, "activity_lines": [ 24.421767, 24.287711, 24.275311, 24.19503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.3491, "volume": 254455, "typical_volume": 249445.75, "trend": 24.049487, "fair_value": 22.302465, "relative_strength": -9.110477, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.97222, "energy": 54.309713, "activity_lines": [ 24.429313, 24.308998, 24.286469, 24.21753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }