{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e34f4a72-e030-4f57-9bb2-a9145ad4a9a0",
    "symbol": "CEW",
    "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST EMERGING CURRENCY STRATEGY FUND",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 60.046,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.612,
    "architecture_energy": 61.285,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.42,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.153,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.84,
        "rotation_up": 65.57,
        "upward_expansion": 85.83,
        "deceleration": 45.53,
        "rotation_down": 12.31,
        "downward_expansion": 12.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        19.401868
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 19.92,
    "trend_reference": 19.335103,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030251,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 17.537856,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.135829,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.620524,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.030784,
    "excess_performance": -0.094841,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030251,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012193,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135829,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001696,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066205,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002177,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030784,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.368697,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27085,
      "relative_activity": 1.224618,
      "balance": 4.368697,
      "dry_up": 2.288535,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0177,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.065947,
      "from_high_reference": -0.030893,
      "from_low_reference": 0.119101
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.335103,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.537856,
      "structural_low": 17.8,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.007294,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008273,
        "regime_survival": 0.357143,
        "best_return": 0.029106,
        "worst_return": -0.033586,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.014278,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.035196,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118869,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.071131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.094471,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "return": -0.009906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 14.44944,
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      {
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        "fair_value": 17.429645,
        "relative_strength": -6.872666,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "trend": 19.244502,
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        "relative_strength": -7.51644,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 17.520914,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 19.36,
        "volume": 7514,
        "typical_volume": 19350.7,
        "trend": 19.262403,
        "fair_value": 17.469607,
        "relative_strength": -6.140697,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.228517,
        "energy": 12.646606,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.371133,
          19.379691,
          19.360808,
          19.323708
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 19.447,
        "volume": 127391,
        "typical_volume": 23128.9,
        "trend": 19.280767,
        "fair_value": 17.489346,
        "relative_strength": -4.999856,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.478001,
        "energy": 18.789862,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.395533,
          19.393455,
          19.376175,
          19.335617
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.692,
        "volume": 40473,
        "typical_volume": 22916.8,
        "trend": 19.304337,
        "fair_value": 17.512583,
        "relative_strength": -4.648138,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.155495,
        "energy": 36.141797,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.5004,
          19.448127,
          19.412869,
          19.362148
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.92,
        "volume": 27085,
        "typical_volume": 22117.1,
        "trend": 19.335103,
        "fair_value": 17.537856,
        "relative_strength": -6.620524,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.611621,
        "energy": 61.284588,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.656533,
          19.538327,
          19.46753,
          19.401868
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}