{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e35fd0f0-cb14-4867-9924-9b24e1371403", "symbol": "GLOBUSSPR", "name": "Globus Spirits Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.548, "architecture_energy": 13.195, "architecture_maturity": 28.631, "architecture_confidence": 72.223, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.34, "rotation_up": 26.6, "upward_expansion": 16.39, "deceleration": 35.05, "rotation_down": 31.77, "downward_expansion": 59.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 899.823332, 898.104543, 907.104283, 909.84774 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 906.299988, "trend_reference": 914.971663, "distance_from_trend": -0.009478, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 934.244981, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029912, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.602956, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.02606, "excess_performance": 0.017649, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009478, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055815, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029912, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074721, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07603, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078525, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02606, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.56635, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 583322, "relative_activity": 1.262557, "balance": 1.56635, "dry_up": 1.857977, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057805, "annualized_volatility": 0.362693, "from_high_reference": -0.283274, "from_low_reference": 0.132804 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 914.971663, "fair_value_reference": 934.244981, "structural_low": 800.049988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.014352, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": 0.004845, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.194515, "worst_return": -0.155051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.005205, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.030476, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.341958, "worst_return": -0.156657, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.119678, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.094876, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.381398, "worst_return": -0.105574, "sufficient": true }, 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005084, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.250326, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.175408, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016465, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.089868, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": 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-30.54807, "energy": 13.195224, "activity_lines": [ 899.823332, 898.104543, 907.104283, 909.84774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }