{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e37c9da4-9cc8-4e95-9028-41e54048055a", "symbol": "4171", "name": "GeneReach Biotechnology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.91, "architecture_energy": 28.604, "architecture_maturity": 48.589, "architecture_confidence": 87.116, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.78, "rotation_up": 26.02, "upward_expansion": 5.15, "deceleration": 54.04, "rotation_down": 44.2, "downward_expansion": 76.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.459999, 17.519091, 17.730714, 18.116774 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.049999, "trend_reference": 18.761667, "distance_from_trend": -0.091232, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.781731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.363372, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.264273, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.191943, "excess_performance": -0.633315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.091232, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041794, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.363372, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017158, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.372643, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0389, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.191943, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.920632, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 311116, "relative_activity": 0.333528, "balance": 1.920632, "dry_up": 2.176197, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074667, "annualized_volatility": 0.244818, "from_high_reference": -0.366171, "from_low_reference": 0.042813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.761667, "fair_value_reference": 26.781731, "structural_low": 16.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.025243, "positive_rate": 0.358974, "directional_follow_through": 0.641026, "median_excess_return": -0.024175, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.255405, "worst_return": -0.326697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.081147, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.080704, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.192607, "worst_return": -0.21288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066685, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.190863, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.103535, "worst_return": -0.318417, 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"activity_lines": [ 18.09, 17.794546, 18.041667, 18.46086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.35, "volume": 984031, "typical_volume": 919179.3, "trend": 18.925, "fair_value": 27.077885, "relative_strength": -34.121533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.34526, "energy": 21.525135, "activity_lines": [ 17.96, 17.726364, 17.94881, 18.354624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.049999, "volume": 983800, "typical_volume": 945497.1, "trend": 18.861667, "fair_value": 26.925, "relative_strength": -35.988393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.608663, "energy": 22.274175, "activity_lines": [ 17.703333, 17.616364, 17.835238, 18.233656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.049999, "volume": 311116, "typical_volume": 932802.35, "trend": 18.761667, "fair_value": 26.781731, "relative_strength": -37.264273, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.910394, "energy": 28.603967, "activity_lines": [ 17.459999, 17.519091, 17.730714, 18.116774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }