{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e38210bd-540d-4090-80f2-366a0f7efd3a",
    "symbol": "PC",
    "name": "Pirelli & C. S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.791,
    "architecture_energy": 47.864,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.018,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.659,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.34,
        "rotation_up": 57.3,
        "upward_expansion": 81.54,
        "deceleration": 51.99,
        "rotation_down": 17.58,
        "downward_expansion": 8.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.542407,
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        6.271384
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.535,
    "trend_reference": 6.222458,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.050228,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.460571,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.196761,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.139165,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.02881,
    "excess_performance": -0.145437,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050228,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023318,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196761,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007072,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131392,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025774,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02881,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.461638,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.461638,
      "dry_up": 0.019881,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044288,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.286076,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037088,
      "from_low_reference": 0.199083
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.222458,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.460571,
      "structural_low": 5.45,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": -0.002386,
        "positive_rate": 0.486486,
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        "best_return": 0.10882,
        "worst_return": -0.27912,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.117482,
        "energy": 21.1046,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.0012,
          5.961291,
          6.047995,
          6.0566
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 6.355,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 425.85,
        "trend": 6.070067,
        "fair_value": 5.278972,
        "relative_strength": -10.561736,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.329672,
        "energy": 15.16307,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.109333,
          6.033091,
          6.074362,
          6.075755
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 6.14,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 425.85,
        "trend": 6.074667,
        "fair_value": 5.290689,
        "relative_strength": -12.913878,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.629801,
        "energy": 7.020339,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.12,
          6.066182,
          6.078,
          6.080267
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 6.045,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 425.85,
        "trend": 6.0727,
        "fair_value": 5.302341,
        "relative_strength": -15.579148,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.436209,
        "energy": 7.651099,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.101667,
          6.076655,
          6.07099,
          6.078353
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 6.315,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.25,
        "trend": 6.080667,
        "fair_value": 5.317194,
        "relative_strength": -13.717336,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.91666,
        "energy": 28.975988,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.182667,
          6.131145,
          6.089024,
          6.093985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 6.01,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.25,
        "trend": 6.0786,
        "fair_value": 5.329864,
        "relative_strength": -16.550542,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.7606,
        "energy": 8.026774,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.138667,
          6.116782,
          6.077395,
          6.089426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 6.335,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.25,
        "trend": 6.090367,
        "fair_value": 5.34392,
        "relative_strength": -14.042682,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.71407,
        "energy": 30.650981,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.192667,
          6.159182,
          6.098376,
          6.105968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 6.082825,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.25,
        "trend": 6.096328,
        "fair_value": 5.357693,
        "relative_strength": -20.333226,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.581598,
        "energy": 16.962156,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.163942,
          6.149059,
          6.095631,
          6.105481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 6.220747,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.25,
        "trend": 6.104819,
        "fair_value": 5.371936,
        "relative_strength": -16.483303,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.365489,
        "energy": 16.975391,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.185002,
          6.16578,
          6.10736,
          6.113508
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 6.682071,
        "volume": 1420,
        "typical_volume": 325.25,
        "trend": 6.124421,
        "fair_value": 5.389517,
        "relative_strength": -12.046395,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.690283,
        "energy": 58.126697,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.348121,
          6.265728,
          6.16365,
          6.15075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 6.506102,
        "volume": 3046,
        "typical_volume": 477.55,
        "trend": 6.141825,
        "fair_value": 5.40438,
        "relative_strength": -12.857672,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.884907,
        "energy": 56.648332,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.428112,
          6.320644,
          6.202018,
          6.175375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.625,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 375.75,
        "trend": 6.166592,
        "fair_value": 5.419029,
        "relative_strength": -9.201874,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.58269,
        "energy": 68.968312,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.514663,
          6.385339,
          6.250624,
          6.206547
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.435,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 377.25,
        "trend": 6.187625,
        "fair_value": 5.432039,
        "relative_strength": -12.630495,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.455062,
        "energy": 64.518769,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.518546,
          6.41058,
          6.279949,
          6.223864
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 377.25,
        "trend": 6.210825,
        "fair_value": 5.44594,
        "relative_strength": -10.018077,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.280816,
        "energy": 57.153141,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.553952,
          6.460458,
          6.322184,
          6.250469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.535,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 377.25,
        "trend": 6.222458,
        "fair_value": 5.460571,
        "relative_strength": -13.139165,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.790641,
        "energy": 47.863918,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.542407,
          6.488426,
          6.354257,
          6.271384
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}