{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3a6c36a-7b5e-4fed-be10-4c58dfa38a05", "symbol": "KMI", "name": "Kinder Morgan Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 59.72, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.328, "architecture_energy": 6.511, "architecture_maturity": 45.024, "architecture_confidence": 68.186, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.23, "rotation_up": 24.64, "upward_expansion": 47.38, "deceleration": 84.65, "rotation_down": 24.64, "downward_expansion": 22.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.681925, 31.833069, 31.791712, 31.776753 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 30.85, "trend_reference": 31.443241, "distance_from_trend": -0.018867, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.232527, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32788, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.429236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.040009, "excess_performance": -0.085616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018867, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064095, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.32788, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087765, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054292, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042027, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040009, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.035493, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45757764, "relative_activity": 0.869199, "balance": 2.035493, "dry_up": 0.95841, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048897, "annualized_volatility": 0.230776, "from_high_reference": -0.096903, "from_low_reference": 0.258954 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.443241, "fair_value_reference": 23.232527, "structural_low": 29.624298, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.008419, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016996, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.074341, "worst_return": -0.068776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.054501, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.01686, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.066636, "worst_return": -0.049738, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.006297, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.086059, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.03288, "worst_return": -0.045474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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32.033711, 31.895271, 31.827386, 31.648923 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.551589, "volume": 57754350, "typical_volume": 54364607.7, "trend": 31.112445, "fair_value": 23.023383, "relative_strength": 4.347515, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.37548, "energy": 23.817454, "activity_lines": [ 32.193942, 32.005174, 31.889612, 31.755462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.877971, "volume": 59974272, "typical_volume": 54218186.45, "trend": 31.285506, "fair_value": 23.132403, "relative_strength": 1.119168, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.308896, "energy": 19.269081, "activity_lines": [ 32.065528, 32.000882, 31.888194, 31.80485 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.85, "volume": 45757764, "typical_volume": 52643620.15, "trend": 31.443241, "fair_value": 23.232527, "relative_strength": -5.429236, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.32809, "energy": 6.510683, "activity_lines": [ 31.681925, 31.833069, 31.791712, 31.776753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }