{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3b70544-d965-4576-bcb3-83d18305d29e", "symbol": "LUG", "name": "Lundin Gold Inc.", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.397, "architecture_energy": 27.741, "architecture_maturity": 70.519, "architecture_confidence": 91.131, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.65, "rotation_up": 29.78, "upward_expansion": 18.44, "deceleration": 43.19, "rotation_down": 34.14, "downward_expansion": 66.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 567.986658, 558.897362, 578.805009, 610.60793 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 621.799988, "trend_reference": 652.395805, "distance_from_trend": -0.046898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 374.373219, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.660909, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.530491, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.082855, "excess_performance": -0.144349, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046898, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090511, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.660909, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221019, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075525, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.082855, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.988212, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 863708, "relative_activity": 1.527252, "balance": 0.988212, "dry_up": 0.994374, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080846, "annualized_volatility": 0.529021, "from_high_reference": -0.320522, "from_low_reference": 0.223053 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 652.395805, "fair_value_reference": 374.373219, 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549.358387, 585.850672, 620.831837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 540.599976, "volume": 555332, "typical_volume": 594613.6, "trend": 657.247068, "fair_value": 371.221265, "relative_strength": -26.170233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.639974, "energy": 49.377145, "activity_lines": [ 542.319991, 546.377784, 578.034031, 612.894839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 621.799988, "volume": 863708, "typical_volume": 565530.7, "trend": 652.395805, "fair_value": 374.373219, "relative_strength": -16.530491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.396759, "energy": 27.740506, "activity_lines": [ 567.986658, 558.897362, 578.805009, 610.60793 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }