{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3d66763-4ccc-48da-80ad-2e0b5ffafe7f", "symbol": "XD9E", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA UCITS ETF 2C - EUR Hedged", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.345, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.679, "architecture_energy": 58.844, "architecture_maturity": 58.523, "architecture_confidence": 69.427, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.22, "rotation_up": 52.55, "upward_expansion": 79.81, "deceleration": 68.65, "rotation_down": 27.43, "downward_expansion": 8.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 150.265, 149.536183, 148.254906, 145.509184 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 154.229996, "trend_reference": 142.495668, "distance_from_trend": 0.082349, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 119.654049, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288966, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.381791, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.117082, "excess_performance": 0.052443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082349, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02964, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.288966, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009096, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023818, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066695, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117082, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.427106, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15531, "relative_activity": 0.872925, "balance": 1.427106, "dry_up": 1.189474, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019095, "annualized_volatility": 0.132648, "from_high_reference": -0.002619, "from_low_reference": 0.210929 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 142.495668, "fair_value_reference": 119.654049, "structural_low": 127.364998, 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"energy": 58.065734, "activity_lines": [ 148.982335, 148.929456, 145.795454, 143.3987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 148.625, "volume": 20990, "typical_volume": 19092.15, "trend": 141.348001, "fair_value": 118.551856, "relative_strength": 5.090804, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.453671, "energy": 54.506918, "activity_lines": [ 148.967001, 148.911274, 146.398954, 143.892571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 148.095001, "volume": 20642, "typical_volume": 17541.55, "trend": 141.665334, "fair_value": 118.89785, "relative_strength": 3.400353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.113377, "energy": 48.777759, "activity_lines": [ 148.740668, 148.764728, 146.898573, 144.327861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 147.755005, "volume": 27489, "typical_volume": 18093.4, "trend": 142.009168, "fair_value": 119.2506, "relative_strength": 0.901369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.95286, "energy": 40.713299, "activity_lines": [ 148.462669, 148.549638, 147.303597, 144.720743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 154.229996, "volume": 15531, "typical_volume": 17791.9, "trend": 142.495668, "fair_value": 119.654049, "relative_strength": 2.381791, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.678695, "energy": 58.843935, "activity_lines": [ 150.265, 149.536183, 148.254906, 145.509184 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }