{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e3dbfc97-d895-4971-9134-ebe11a8efcf9",
    "symbol": "VEVE",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed World UCITS ETF USD Distributing",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.416,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.438,
    "architecture_energy": 63.359,
    "architecture_maturity": 91.211,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.424,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.7,
        "rotation_up": 51.14,
        "upward_expansion": 82.12,
        "deceleration": 71.46,
        "rotation_down": 29.42,
        "downward_expansion": 11.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        122.234198,
        119.690105
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 126.629997,
    "trend_reference": 116.671059,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.085359,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 97.797775,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294815,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.186102,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.141929,
    "excess_performance": -0.028963,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085359,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04475,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294815,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033924,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031861,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011191,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141929,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.729777,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 25970,
      "relative_activity": 1.019101,
      "balance": 0.729777,
      "dry_up": 2.70305,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017609,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.113236,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002442,
      "from_low_reference": 0.248567
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 116.671059,
      "fair_value_reference": 97.797775,
      "structural_low": 105.82,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.010935,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005348,
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        "best_return": 0.06556,
        "worst_return": -0.078406,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007577,
        "regime_survival": 0.615385,
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        "worst_return": -0.145658,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008087,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.076533,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.029019,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": 0.007419,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 18919.4,
        "trend": 109.567586,
        "fair_value": 93.200269,
        "relative_strength": -1.655844,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 20726.25,
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        "relative_strength": 0.593299,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 21880.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -3.348082,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 95.929883,
        "relative_strength": -2.053028,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 114.23649,
        "fair_value": 96.251707,
        "relative_strength": -3.490882,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 114.792669,
        "fair_value": 96.572599,
        "relative_strength": -2.886131,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 123.050003,
        "volume": 186113,
        "typical_volume": 29149.3,
        "trend": 115.272743,
        "fair_value": 96.874763,
        "relative_strength": -2.832895,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.966089,
        "energy": 65.384109,
        "activity_lines": [
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          120.470928,
          118.067047
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 123.5,
        "volume": 23289,
        "typical_volume": 26422.85,
        "trend": 115.752194,
        "fair_value": 97.171631,
        "relative_strength": -2.262013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.025051,
        "energy": 63.632782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 122.239998,
        "volume": 40158,
        "typical_volume": 25834.2,
        "trend": 116.187652,
        "fair_value": 97.469033,
        "relative_strength": -3.833949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.603912,
        "energy": 51.816185,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.240667,
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          121.464259,
          119.016405
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 126.629997,
        "volume": 25970,
        "typical_volume": 25483.25,
        "trend": 116.671059,
        "fair_value": 97.797775,
        "relative_strength": -3.186102,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.437577,
        "energy": 63.359403,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}