{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e3dd5ff9-c54a-457d-9926-695c733d5623", "symbol": "688222", "name": "HitGen Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.862, "architecture_energy": 14.241, "architecture_maturity": 36.982, "architecture_confidence": 79.398, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.67, "rotation_up": 32.6, "upward_expansion": 40.15, "deceleration": 69.83, "rotation_down": 38.72, "downward_expansion": 16.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.543333, 30.49329, 29.648023, 29.082472 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 33.91, "trend_reference": 29.094215, "distance_from_trend": 0.165524, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.174828, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.865767, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.070386, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090003, "excess_performance": 0.133207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165524, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075615, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.865767, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.289848, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.270704, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232282, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090003, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.1203, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96712220, "relative_activity": 1.157011, "balance": 1.1203, "dry_up": 1.336153, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142298, "annualized_volatility": 0.577596, "from_high_reference": -0.211028, "from_low_reference": 0.580149 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.094215, "fair_value_reference": 18.174828, "structural_low": 22.42, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.074254, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.047926, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.380591, "worst_return": -0.13154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.169767, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.153011, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": -0.015403, "worst_return": -0.333944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.134928, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.159551, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.029515, "worst_return": -0.503876, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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17.980815, "relative_strength": 7.79777, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.483246, "energy": 38.444417, "activity_lines": [ 30.658666, 30.050051, 29.16137, 28.814715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.610001, "volume": 77438138, "typical_volume": 80895500.25, "trend": 28.745548, "fair_value": 18.057756, "relative_strength": 6.952999, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.928797, "energy": 13.600958, "activity_lines": [ 29.454667, 29.664083, 29.109054, 28.749281 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.91, "volume": 96712220, "typical_volume": 83588005.5, "trend": 29.094215, "fair_value": 18.174828, "relative_strength": 27.070386, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.862263, "energy": 14.240808, "activity_lines": [ 30.543333, 30.49329, 29.648023, 29.082472 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }